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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: James Clarke who wrote (4991)9/11/1998 8:54:00 PM
From: Investor2  Respond to of 78485
 
RE: "Yeah, I'm a bear. I think I was saying pretty much the same thing at the peak, so its not fear if that was your implication."

"Implication" sounds so contentious, but yes, that was my question. One condition that may lead to overly bearish projections is new found fear. It's good to see that you don't have that.

Maybe I should check for the other condition, while I'm at it. How long have you been a bear?

Best wishes,

I2



To: James Clarke who wrote (4991)9/12/1998 9:11:00 AM
From: Ron Bower  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78485
 
Jim,

There's a factor you have to consider when estimating where the Dow will go.

We've had it pushed up by the inflow of Asian monies. Now we have Soviet block and Latin and South American markets collapsing. Bond rates are too low for a decent return.

The 'safe' stocks are considered to be the DOW stocks.

While I will consider it to be overpriced based on growth projections, I 'feel' we'll see resistance around 7000 because there's no other place for investors to put their money. For this same reason, I also think we'll see a better balance between the large and small caps.

JMHO,
Ron