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Technology Stocks : TLAB info? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (3632)9/12/1998 12:06:00 PM
From: Gary Korn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 7342
 
CTC,

I don't disagree that the events surrounding Coherent and CIEN are disimilar. However, my point was that the lack of long/short arb positioning (essentially caused by fear/uncertainty in both cases) is similar and is causing a similar effect (a wide spread). If arb positioning were occuring, it would tend to tie the stock prices together. Same thing happened with Coherent, and there was a lot of hand-wringing about it.

As for the exchange ratio, I just don't see a .5x TLAB offer in the works (which works out to something like 5.5 x sales). At .8, that is 36 for CIEN, which is about 10x sales. I recall LU paid 8x sales for Livingston. Maybe you could argue for .75, which is more like 8x sales. But there is another company (Company A) that is/was interested in CIEN, so that justifies not fiddling too much, I think.

Best,
Gary Korn