To: The Perfect Hedge who wrote (7164 ) 9/12/1998 12:45:00 PM From: Bwe Respond to of 34824
You're right, Beebs, that PRGN hasn't had much movement since the double top buy on 9/8. After the stock gave the double top buy at $32, the stock moved up 2 more boxes in X's and subsequently, reversed into a column of O's and has retraced more than 50% of the column of X's to $30. The stock has a bullish price objective of $49, but a HPT has now formed. That's what a bearish NYSEBP will do to a stock regardless of a stock's bullish or bearish trend. A bear confirmed NYSEBP in O's means, as Tom likes to put it, that the market has the ball. As such, the market is going to force turnovers and cause fumbles and interceptions and the like when it's least expected. In football, how often have you seen a runner break free of the line and who looks like he's about to break one for a TD, only to have the ball knocked out of his hands by a defensive back and lose the ball. The analogy with a bearish NYSEBP is the same. The HPT greatly increases the chances that PRGN is going to move below a previous bottom and give a sell on it's chart. It doesn't always happen, but the risk has now greatly increased. Check out my blow by blow analysis of PFE's chart action in my post from yesterday. A HPT marked the top in July and the stock is struggling to keep it's bullish uptrend intact. I've been saying it for a long time in my posts, HPT's are very dangerous. This was the first HPT that PRGN has had on it's chart. A HPT is an early warning pattern in that it alerts you to a problem in the supply/demand equation of a stock before the actual sell signal takes place. The HPT is related to the Shakeout Formation, Long Tail down, and Low Pole patterns in that the pattern alerts the chartist to act before an actual buy or sell signal is given. JMHO, Beebs. Bruce