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Strategies & Market Trends : The Millennium Crash -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Greg from Edmonton who wrote (3491)9/14/1998 5:36:00 PM
From: Barbara Barry  Respond to of 5676
 
Greg,
I know Bill H. and he would say to come on over and post your question on the BK thread.You might be surprized at all the good responses.
Regards,
Barbara



To: Greg from Edmonton who wrote (3491)9/15/1998 6:33:00 AM
From: Cage Rattler  Respond to of 5676
 
Greg:

I guess I do not fully understand the roots of your question but it sound like you would like to find a predictive parallel between 1987 and 1998.

The big Kahuna, bubble, etc., refer to a cataclysmic drop in the stock market and "deflation" of the bubble. Although 1987 was the worst in my life span, and is taunted as a "really big one," it can not be considered in the same tectonic category as the BK. The point is not if, but when the BK will roll ashore; market intervention via the FED and market-stop controls are operational. These seem to have controlled mob-panic behavior thus far -- but who knows for how long?

Greg -- the bottom line, we're all doing our best to understand the market. There are some very sharp minds at work on SI; but notice how they all head off in different directions. Beyond insider information and other non-random influences, things are rather unpredictable. Humans learn quickly and, at least initially, tend to confuse cause-effect etiology with unrelated, correlating variables.

If you are into the date related theories, then you might be advised to check out some of the astrological sites relating to the market. Personally I am at a loss when it comes to stars, transit times, and such, but that is not to say they do not offer good insight to investors who understand the philosophy and jargon.

I think your Dad is on a good track; Gann, Elliott, and other cyclic sages, although complex, cryptically vague, and difficult to comprehend, did exceedingly well.

Ciao, Ted