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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: 16yearcycle who wrote (24292)9/15/1998 11:53:00 AM
From: akidron  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
Yeah..... I view every up as an opportunity to make money on the down.... funny how times have changed. Might even get rid of the pfe... it's had a nice run. truth is that when your looking at fixes you know aren't gonna work in advance, then you've got problems.

As for amat.... the co's telling us in every way they can that '99 gonna be a bust and that when the marke does recover it will never support the kind of growth it has.... but people don't want to listen. DON' GET IT .



To: 16yearcycle who wrote (24292)9/15/1998 3:29:00 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
re: I am going to go short here on any bounce

Be careful. Be very careful.

I remember not too long ago thinking AMAT was in a 26 to 32 trading range, shorting at 32, and having the market promptly tell me the real trading range was 23 to 39.

As a general principle, this stock is more volatile than you think it could possibly be.

We've recently broken below a support line that had held for 10 months. AMAT has been in a narrow range, 23-26, since then. That's too narrow to be the real trading range. The market is still in the process of establishing a range. It will break (down or up) soon. If I had to guess, I'd say down, but it's only a guess. You might do better waiting for the market to tell you where the trading range is. I'd be happier if I had waited before buying.

re: "no reason for the equips to rally." Sure there is. When sentiment is this bad, but everyone thinks the stocks will eventually recover, and a lot of scared money is on the sidelines waiting to jump in, there is always the possibility of a (probably false) rally, (to 32 or 39) based on hopeful speculation. Wouldn't you be happier shorting at 39 than 25? Will you keep some powder dry and have the courage to continue shorting all the way up? When will you cover and admit you were wrong? You need to be sure of your answers before you act.



To: 16yearcycle who wrote (24292)9/15/1998 3:42:00 PM
From: Fortinwit  Respond to of 70976
 
I am going to go short here on any bounce.
$26 is major resistance lately. We've bounced off of that 4 times in the last week. If we see a bounce back up there, and resistance holds, short around 25, 25 1/2. I'd have a stop-loss set around 27/28 in case BK's, er, I mean Jacob's (I'm getting you guys confused now, <ggg>) caution proves sound. Good luck...

F.