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Strategies & Market Trends : Investment in Russia and Eastern Europe -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: P.T.Burnem who wrote (668)9/15/1998 3:42:00 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1301
 
Yep, whatever, there is a sense of political stability. Russia
has yet to default on some 140 bln in foreign loans. This will
do a lot of harm in Europe and the US (banks). Latin America was
next in the crashing line... As for Russian stocks - they are so
cheap, you have to count on the nationalization of some
sort as a bear (or take that risk as a bull).



To: P.T.Burnem who wrote (668)9/15/1998 4:20:00 PM
From: Rob Shilling  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1301
 
<<P.S. Those who believe that Primakov will dispossess the native oligarchy before he robs foreign investors are fooling themselves>>.

The oligarchy has already been partially dispossessed by themselves. They chose not to reinvest in the Russian economy and instead to reinvest in Swiss bank accounts. So that was a capital allocation problem. Also, most of the banks that the oligarchs own are in trouble thanks to taking on too much risk.
In a capitalist system, if you do not allocate your capital correctly, you can lose a lot of money. That is what Russia and the oligarchs have experienced. The market has spoken.
Vi, I agree, Russian stocks are super cheap. The only bear scenario left is re-nationalization. I for one, took the risk and have bought ROS and LUKOY



To: P.T.Burnem who wrote (668)9/16/1998 1:53:00 PM
From: doormouse  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1301
 
Those who believe that Primakov will dispossess the native oligarchy before he robs foreign investors are fooling themselves.

Sign me up to "fool myself," Circus Boy.
Listen for the thud of banks & oligarchs,,,