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To: Nancy who wrote (52769)	9/16/1998 2:34:00 AM
From: AlanH	Respond to of 58727

Nancy, re:AG, Stocks, Bonds and Div Re-investing Interesting points on valuation based on alternative vehicles. Of course, you recognize that dividend offerings have decreased significantly over the past few years? The old chart on the wall shows SP500 tracking other rates over many moons, BUT the curves factor dividend re-investment. If Econ slows down, it wont, and Greenie will lower rate to prevent us fall into a recession. Well, I'm not so sure. Somehow, the word inelastic comes to mind. Separate but related, the liquidity mop-up that must (eventually) take place will undoubtedly impact the ability for individuals and corporations to acquire capital. Long story short: recession is unavoidable; the (seemingly) unknown is whether 'stagflation' becomes reality. Regards, Alan