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To: Bobby Yellin who wrote (19059)9/16/1998 3:07:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Respond to of 116764
 
Jude Wanniski says all global economic problems would be solved if the Fed announced its intention to fix the price of gold around $325 an ounce.

Order - The Way the World Works (4th edition)

MEMO ON THE MARGIN

September 16, 1998

A Puzzled George Soros

Memo To: Op-Ed Page Editor, The Wall Street Journal
From: Jude Wanniski
Re: Market chaos

Tuesday's (September 15) op-ed by George Soros expressed a growing dismay about the
inefficiencies of the free market in currencies and the need for governments to do something to
stabilize them. "There is an urgent need," he says, "to recognize that financial markets, far from
tending toward equilibrium, are inherently unstable." The statement is true only in a world of
floating currencies. If the world's key currency, the dollar, were anchored to gold, the current
chaos would subside to equilibrium.

The underlying misconception is that a currency that floats in price represents the free market in
action while a currency that is fixed in price is antithetical to the free market. The reverse is true.

This is because each country's currency is also part of its non-interest-bearing national debt.
When the value of the debt freely floats, its price is determined by the 11 voting members of the
Federal Reserve's open-market committee, meeting in secret. When the value of the currency is
fixed to gold, the Fed cannot change its price because of the discipline of the marketplace. That
is, everyone in the market has a vote on whether the Fed is producing too many dollars, or not
enough of them.

Keynesian and monetarist economists are correct in noting that gold is obsolete in most of its
monetary functions, particularly as a medium of exchange and as a store of value. It remains the
most monetary of all commodities, which is why it remains the truest signal of central bank
error. When it produces one dollar too many relative to global demand, the price of gold begins
an inflationary rise. When it produces too few relative to demand, the gold price begins a
deflationary fall.

Our first Treasury Secretary, Alexander Hamilton, explained this to Congress in 1791, pointing
out that a small group of bankers may avoid monetary error for a while. In times of distress,
though, he said it is so much easier to print money than raise taxes that they invariably succumb.
When the money is fixed to gold, he pointed out that an extra dollar will be returned to the bank.
A gold standard is the most democratic of monetary regimes and the most compatible to a free
market.

The chaos Mr. Soros sees is due almost entirely to the accumulated monetary errors the Fed has
made in the past six years, particularly its failure to provide dollar liquidity as the gold price was
falling by $100 an ounce since December 1996. Fixing the dollar/gold price around $325 an
ounce -- as recommended by Jack Kemp and Steve Forbes -- would end the chaos as nothing
else could.

Related Link:

The order behind the chaos -- Call it Deflation.

* * * * *

Recent Memos

The Myth of Tiananmen, 9-15-98
Confession, Contrition and Penance, 9-14-98.
Cross-Currents in Stocks and Bonds, 9-10-98.
Fixing Russia With Gold, 9-9-98.
Senator Lieberman's Clinton Speech, 9-8-98.





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