Jim ... thanks for the news item ... this appears to be a rehash of the last news announcement a couple weeks ago.
When I talked to IR the other day (was it yesterday?)
IR said they are shipping, this month, on the new contract, they rec. in July .....
I suppose ... on this awful news ... is why OIS is trading at 3/16 ... what a shame
Demise of OIS said to loom as 'crisis' for big defense contractors -- Top military display maker could go lights out David Lieberman
Northville, Mich. - Unless some corporate angel comes to its rescue, it appears that OIS Optical Imaging Systems Inc., the premier U.S. military display supplier, will soon cease operations, becoming the third North American active-matrix LCD venture to bite the dust in recent days. The possible demise of OIS and its implications were pervasive topics of discussion at last week's Flat-Panel-Display Strategic and Technical Symposium in nearby Ypsilanti, Mich. Sources said the company's major backer has decided to pull the plug, with hopes that a customer or group of customers will "bail out" OIS because of their dependence on its displays.
Should OIS cease operations, the who's who of military integrators will be in a bind. OIS is the cockpit-display supplier for most avionics programs-including the F-16, F-18, F-22 and AH-64D Apache helicopter-and for the M1A2 Abrams tank. Those affected include AlliedSignal, Boeing, General Dynamics, Honeywell, Kaiser and Lockheed. Two weeks ago, OIS revealed that at a recent board meeting, its majority shareholder, Guardian Industries Corp., said it is seriously considering discontinuing funding for OIS, which sources said has been racking up losses in the range of $30 million annually.
"What we're doing right now is praying," said a source from General Dynamics who requested anonymity. The Abrams tank is nearing production, he said, using 10.4-inch-diagonal OIS displays, several hundred of which have been delivered out of a total of about 8,000 that will be needed. "We're doing a lot of contingency planning, depending on which way the cat jumps. There are probably 15 major programs that will have to be requalified if different displays have to be used. There's quite a chess match going on right now."
OIS president and chief executive officer Rex Tapp denied last week that Guardian has made a definitive decision to abandon OIS. There have, however, long been signs of Guardian's growing impatience with OIS losses. According to an OIS statement issued two weeks ago, the company has been "exploring a full range of strategic alternatives, with the encouragement and cooperation of Guardian" since at least February, when BancAmerica Robertson Stevens was hired to seek investors to finance or purchase OIS. That effort failed.
In the company's fiscal 1997 financial statement, Tapp reported "ongoing and increasing losses," and said that "management anticipates that substantial losses will continue for fiscal 1998, but we also believe that we are laying the foundation for financial improvements in subsequent years." According to the company's Securities and Exchange Commission report for the first three quarters of fiscal 1998, ending March 31, revenue more than doubled over the same period in FY'97, to about $17 million. At the same time, net loss decreased by over 30 percent to $15.5 million, with the company borrowing $9 million from GD Investment Corp., an affiliate of Guardian. The same report contained the ominous statement: "The sales volume required to achieve profitability exceeds the existing markets for the company's products."
Traded on the Nasdaq as OVON, OIS saw its public shares range in value over a 52-week period from 1/32 to 2 9/16, closing last Tuesday at 3/16. "We're working very hard to bring a positive outcome to this," said Tapp.
OIS is "in discussions with its major avionics-display customers to explore the possibility of a sale of the company's operations to one of these customers or a consortium of these customers," according to the statement. "If these efforts are not successful and Guardian discontinues its funding, the board of OIS is considering the dissolution of the company and an orderly liquidation of its assets." Should this occur, "OIS expects to pay all of its current trade creditors in full . . . [but] it is not considered likely that the shareholders of the company would receive any proceeds in the event of a sale or liquidation."
Richard Van Atta, analyst at the Institute for Defense Analyses think tank (Alexandria, Va.), labeled the OIS situation a "crisis," especially for the Apache helicopter and F-16, which a number of foreign governments have committed to buying. OIS scored the Apache contract for a 6.25 x 6.25-inch color display with AlliedSignal Government Electronics Systems (Teterboro, N.J.) in April. The contract, estimated to be worth $15 million, is to run between October 1998 and September 2000. The F-18 program, Van Atta said, has a second source, Xerox-spin-off dpiX (Palo Alto, Calif.), whose active-matrix LCDs are ruggedized by Planar Systems Inc. (Beaverton, Ore.). "But the question is, can they ramp up and how long will it take to do that," he said.
The OIS situation has the industry revisiting the issue of ruggedized commercial displays from foreign vendors vs. custom displays from domestic suppliers. "Several display integrators believe it would be imprudent for DOD to become dependent solely on foreign commercial-FPD [flat-panel display] producers," said Van Atta, "but the U.S.-based options are tenuous."
OIS has scored some commercial display business-specifically in the Boeing 777, 727, 747 and DC-10-and is also selling sensors to Sterling Diagnostic Imaging for its DirectRay X-ray systems. But Van Atta said that 80 percent of its business is military. "Relying on just the small volume of very demanding defense applications does not appear to be a viable business for domestic suppliers," he said.
Elliott Schlam, principal analyst and consultant at Elliott Schlam Associates (Wayside, N.J.), said that OIS shot itself in the foot trying to provide low-cost displays to the military. "There's a big disconnect between their cost structure and pricing," he said. For the Abrams tank displays, he said, OIS locked itself into a fixed-cost contract before it actually had product, leaving it to sell displays for $5,000 "when, based on costs, they should have been a minimum of $14,000 to $15,000, and Litton was charging about $35,000 [for essentially the same display]."
Van Atta favors a scenario in which OIS customers pick up the ball. "There needs to be a customer-driven solution," he said. "[Military integrators] must demonstrate a willingness to work together to quickly develop a solution to maintain some level of [OIS] production."
Darrell Hopper, chief of the displays branch of the Air Force Research Lab (Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio), agreed, saying, "It's in their interest to get together."
Gary Jones, president of display maker FED Corp. (Hope-well Junction, N.Y.), called the OIS situation "not atypical" in the industry. Late last year, Korea's Hyundai pulled the financial plug on now-defunct active-matrix LCD maker ImageQuest (Fremont, Calif.), and this year, Litton Industries dissolved its AM LCD operation in Canada. |