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Politics : Clinton -- doomed & wagging, Japan collapses, Y2K bug, etc -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 12:13:00 AM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
There have been reputable works both pro and con relating to the codes. Only because of all the other signs, I choose to believe there is something to it. Here is the link from your link:

aristotle.net



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 9:08:00 AM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
Ha'rretz Daily - Israel - 09/17/98

'U.S. may bomb Iraq if Baghdad blocks UN inspections'

By Shlomo Shamir, Ha'aretz Correspondent

NEW YORK - The U.S. government is contemplating an air strike against Iraq if Baghdad makes good on its threat to abandon completely its cooperation with UN weapons inspectors, senior sources at United Nations headquarters in New York said.

UNSCOM, the United Nations Special Commission, was set up by the UN Security Council after the 1991 Gulf War to monitor and inspect Iraq's weapons stores and programs.

According to the sources, senior officials at the Pentagon and top brass of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff have recently been "airing out" contingency plans including lists of preferred target sites in Iraq. Such targets would be subjected to retaliatory missile attacks if Iraq actually goes ahead and expels the international weapons
inspectors and switches off the electronic monitoring devices that operate at Iraqi arms facilities.

A senior Western diplomat who is in close touch with the U.S. delegation to the United Nations told Ha'aretz yesterday that the emerging tendency in the Pentagon is to strike at targets that are "close to the heart of Saddam Hussein."

The point of such an operation would be to humiliate the Iraqi president and at the same time spur opposition activity by groups inside Iraq that are known to oppose Saddam's regime.

The Iraqi National Assembly on Tuesday approved a recommendation to break off cooperation with UNSCOM, and Iraqi leaders yesterday endorsed the approval, said a statement in Baghdad issued after a meeting chaired by Saddam Hussein.

Resolutions of the National Council are generally considered to reflect the views of Saddam Hussein and the prevailing frame of mind within his inner circle.

According to the senior diplomat, Pentagon planners are weighing priority sites for attack that will tarnish Saddam's prestige. Among these sites are some of the eight magnificent presidential palaces that the Iraqi leader built to glorify his name.

"The aim is to focus on targets that, if seriously damaged, will put Saddam Hussein under pressure," the diplomat said.

The prevailing view at the United Nations that an American military strike against Iraq is highly likely is consistent with reports yesterday about intense discussion at the White House on the subject. The consultations there were said to involve President Bill Clinton, Defense Secretary William Cohen, Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, the head of the National Security Council, Sandy Berger, and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Henry Shelton.

Clinton also discussed the crisis in a phone conversation on Tuesday with Canadian Prime Minister Jean Chretien. The consultations at the White House dealt with possible means of response in the event that Iraq decides to realize its threat to suspend all cooperation with UNSCOM.

A spokesman for the National Security Council said yesterday that he had "no details on the contents of the consultations." He added that Clinton had been briefed on the status of the crisis with Iraq.

"This is a situation that we are following very closely," he noted.

Sources in the U.S. administration refused yesterday to comment on what type of operations were discussed. However, Albright said in a speech a week ago that "all the options" are open where Iraq is concerned, including the possible use of military force.

American diplomats are trying to persuade the Security Council to hold a special session as soon as possible to work out steps to take against Iraq if it ceases to cooperate with UNSCOM. At the same time, reports circulating yesterday said that UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan is planning to resume his involvement in the protracted dispute between Iraq and the Security Council.

Ths U.S. administration is said to be encouraged by the unity demonstrated by the Security Council, which last week voted unanimously to suspend the periodic review by UNSCOM, which in practical terms means that the sanctions imposed against Iraq in 1990 will continue indefinitely.



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 9:10:00 AM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
South China Morning Post - 09/17/98

BLOOMBERG in Tokyo

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party proposed nationalising troubled banks in a concession that may pave the way to parliamentary approval of a bailout plan for the nation's debt-burdened banking system.

In a compromise proposal made to opposition leaders, the party proposed creation of a body similar to the US Resolution Trust to take over problem loans, according to an LDP document.

The LDP also wants to set up an agency to oversee the industry independent of Finance Ministry control.

The party will present the proposal to opposition leaders later on Thursday.

An agreement would allow Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi to show United States President Bill Clinton at a meeting next week in New York that Japan is taking steps to lead Asia out of its economic crisis.

The proposal calls for maintaining a 17 trillion yen government fund established in February to protect deposits.

The Government also established a 13 trillion yen fund in February to boost capital at financial troubled banks. The opposition had demanded that fund be scrapped.

The Government ''will study measures to increase bank's capital and restore the banking system'', the document said.

''I hope we can reach agreement when Prime Minister Obuchi meets with the opposition leaders later today,'' said Finance Minister Kiichi Miyazawa after a meeting with Mr Obuchi earlier on Thursday.

The LDP had hoped to pass the banking legislation in the lower house before Mr Obuchi leaves for the US.

Any delay adds to the cost of the eventual bank clean-up and increases the chances Japan's recession will deepen, the US rating company Standard & Poor's said yesterday as it revised its outlook for four Japanese Banks to negative from stable.

''Despite the severity of the banking industry's problems, the Japanese Government has not shown strong leadership in managing the problems and restoring market confidence,'' Standard & Poor's said in its report.

US Trade Representative Charlene Barshefsky called on Japan to act quickly to boost its economy, repair ailing banks and deregulate industry.

''It takes more than pumping money into the economy,'' she said. ''Fiscal stimulus and banking reform must go hand in hand with deregulation.''

''Delay in carrying out these steps has an extraordinary cost for Japan, the US and the World,'' she said in a speech at the Japan National Press Club.

The Liberal Democrats had sought a compromise with the opposition to allow a ''soft-landing'' for major banks in financial trouble.

Japan's three biggest opposition parties had stalled debate on the legislation, objecting to the use of public money to bail out banks.

Earlier reports that the LDP would bow to opposition demands pushed the benchmark Japanese government bond yield to a record low 0.665 per cent.

LTCB shares, which fell 34 per cent yesterday, dropped 12 per cent, or 3 yen, to 22 today and topped the most-actives list with 50.2 million shares traded.

''Long-Term Credit Bank may turn out to be a bank failure after all,'' said Naomi Hasegawa, a senior economist at Tokyo-Mitsubishi Securities.

The Government's handling of LTCB, one of three long-term lenders that helped fund Japan's postwar ''economic miracle,'' may serve as a model for dealing with other major institutions.

The Government wants to merge the bank with smaller, healthier Sumitomo Trust& Banking, which said that LTCB's problem loans must be cleaned up before it agrees to a takeover.



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 9:11:00 AM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
Ha'rretz - Israel - 09/17/98

By Amos Harel, Ha'aretz Military Correspondent

The security forces yesterday stepped up their already high state of alert in both the territories and Israel in the wake of renewed threats by Hamas to avenge the deaths last week of two senior activists of its military wing.

Adel and Imad Awadallah, who were brothers, were gunned down by Israeli forces last Thursday.

In the past few days, information has reached the defense authorities about the intention of Hamas to explode car bombs in the big cities and to try to abduct hitchhiking soldiers or civilians.

Military sources said Hamas's first option is to detonate a car packed with explosives in one of the big cities. Chief of Staff Shaul Mofaz yesterday said that "we have learned that Hamas intends to abduct soldiers." He said that soldiers are being briefed on how to behave when hitchhiking, "as far as possible."

Speaking to military reporters, Mofaz said that Hamas has for some time been preparing attacks against Israel. "In the past year and a half the organization has succeeded in consolidating its organizational infrastructure in Judea and Samaria very significantly, he said."

It is now easier for Hamas to use the West Bank as a base of departure for attacks than the Gaza Strip.

The chief of staff said that the closure of the territories was imposed for a variety of reasons, including the killing of the Awadallah brothers, advance reports of Hamas preparations to carry out attacks, the mission of U.S. peace envoy Dennis Ross in the region and the "sensitive" period of the Jewish holidays.

"We have beefed up the units of the IDF [Israel Defense Forces] in the territories significantly and we will be very vigilant at checkpoints," Mofaz said.

He disclosed that in the past "two or three months" the Shin Bet internal security service has "uncovered intentions by Hamas and Islamic Jihad to carry out attacks. There were many successes in thwarting attacks that have not been reported."

In a campaign to alert soldiers to the possible dangers of hitchhiking, Military Police officers put on civilian clothes and offered soldiers lifts in cars that are off-limits to hitchhikers (such as cars with a passenger in the back seat with the seat next to the driver empty). Every soldier who got into such a car was placed on
disciplinary trial.



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 9:13:00 AM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
DEPRESSION WARNING #1

BBC-London - 09/17/98

US Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan failed to reassure markets

US Federal Reserve Bank Chairman Alan Greenspan has said there is no effort under way to launch a co-ordinated round of interest rate cuts among major countries to deal with the worsening global financial crisis.

Speaking before the US Congress his comments lowered hopes of an imminent cut in US interest rates.

"I can safely say that at the moment there is no endeavor to co-ordinate interest rate cuts," he said.

Mr Greenspan's comments disappointed traders and caused shares to fall in New York, before a late rally inspired by President's Clinton's comments that he is determined not to resign.

Hopes of US rate cuts have buoyed stock markets around the world over the last few days.

US slowdown

However, Mr Greenspan did not rule out a co-ordinated rate cut in the future, saying that US officials are staying in close touch with other industrialised countries.

Mr Greenspan could also look to lower US rates in due course as the global financial crisis takes its toll on domestic growth.

In testimony to the US lawmakers, Mr Greenspan called for countries to abandon attempts at exchange controls as a means of dealing with the global financial crisis.

He said that the free flow of capital was necessary to preserve long-term growth prospects.

Mr Greenspan said that the failure of domestic financial systems was now transmitted worldwide more quickly, but these needed more transparency, not isolation from the world economic system.

But he said that there had not been "due diligence" by foreign investors who were influenced by high equity prices in the US, and by some foreign borrowers.

Call for more IMF funds

Meanwhile, the US Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin praised the work of the IMF in reducing the impact of the financial crisis and called on Congress to fully fund the IMF.

So far the House of Representatives has blocked approval of its requested quota increase.

"Every day the Congress does not approve the request for IMF funding increases our vulnerability to a crisis and decreases confidence in global markets," said Mr Rubin.

The IMF has come under a barrage of criticism in the wake of the economic crises in Asia and Russia, most recently by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development or UNCTAD.

In its annual report, it says the IMF was mistaken in rejecting the idea of setting up a special fund to tackle economic difficulties in Asia.

It warns that the world economy is on a knife-edge and could go into a full-blown recession, unless urgent action is taken in Europe and Asia.



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 9:15:00 AM
From: SOROS  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1151
 
WATCH YELTSIN'S HEALTH #1

Russia Today - 09/17/98

MOSCOW -- (Reuters) Prime Minister Yevgeny Primakov, a compromise choice between President Boris Yeltsin and Russia's Communists, seemed to hit problems forming a government on Thursday when Yeltsin said the process would take another week.

Meanwhile, with a troika of anxious European Union ministers arriving later to hear how Primakov and his Communist first deputy plan to haul Russia out of its deepest crisis in years, the ruble weakened yet again as Russians continued to queue up to dump the currency for dollars.

Many savers -- and some of Russia's Western creditors -- fear the new government may be tempted simply to print new rubles to pay off huge debts to state employees and pensioners.

Primakov, confirmed in office last Friday after a dramatic climb down by Yeltsin over his attempts to reinstall former premier Victor Chernomyrdin, had said he expected to name a full Cabinet by the end of this week. Under the constitution, he has until Friday to present the president with his proposals.

The former foreign minister has already appointed moderate Communist Yury Maslyukov as first deputy and three Chernomyrdin supporters as other deputy prime ministers. He has confirmed continuity in the defense, interior and foreign ministries.

But Russian news agencies quoted Yeltsin as saying the choice of a finance minister was a tough one and he would need up to a week to consider it, leaving Russia still without a full government nearly a month after Yeltsin sacked the old one.

According to Interfax, the president said: "The question of the finance minister is a difficult one, but I think it will be solved within a week."

In other, televised remarks at a Kremlin meeting with Defense Minister Igor Sergeyev and Interior Minister Sergei Stepashin, Yeltsin said: "I think yet another week is needed to finalize the formation of the government."

Thursday's Izvestiya newspaper commented: "The Cabinet taking shape under Primakov is so mixed that it is
impossible to say what color it is -- red, pink or white."

The ruble, which lost some 30 percent of its value on the streets of Moscow on Wednesday, was weaker again, with many exchange points simply refusing to accept the Russian currency.

On the SELT electronic trading system of the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange (MICEX), the central bank delayed trade for half an hour. By late morning it was around 15.50 per dollar compared with the official 12.4509 set the previous day.

That is less than half what it was worth exactly a month ago, before the previous government of Sergei Kiriyenko announced a freeze on debt payments and let the ruble float on Aug. 17. A week ago it was worth
just 20 per dollar.

Primakov, confirmed in his post by the Communist-led parliament last Friday, must now persuade Russians and Western governments that he can steer the country out of its decade-long depression without sparking
hyperinflation.

He and Maslyukov, once head of Soviet planning, were later to meet German Foreign Minister Klaus Kinkel, British Minister for Europe Joyce Quin and Foreign Minister Wolfgang Schuessel of Austria, which holds the EU presidency.

Speculation focuses on whether Primakov, who says market reforms must be tempered by state help for domestic industry and welfare, will keep on liberals like former Deputy Prime Minister Boris Fyodorov and
acting Finance Minister Mikhail Zadornov.

Even seasoned observers are getting few clues to Primakov's thinking. A former head of foreign intelligence, he has choked off the usual leaks from the White House government building.

Primakov, who began his career as a correspondent for the Soviet Communist Party daily Pravda, defended himself against charges of censorship on Thursday.

"I was and remain a firm supporter of freedom of speech and the independence of the media from anyone," Tass quoted him telling the Russian journalists' union.

Yeltsin has tried to play down the gravity of Russia's crisis, telling his old ally, German Chancellor Helmut Kohl, by telephone on Wednesday that things were returning to normal.

He was likely to deliver the same message to another old friend, former Japanese Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto, in talks scheduled in the Kremlin on Thursday. Hashimoto, now a foreign policy adviser to his successor Keizo Obuchi, is in Moscow to help promote traditionally troubled bilateral ties.

But Yeltsin, once a combative leader who relished a challenge, is looking isolated these days.

"Boris Yeltsin is gradually losing his image as a player on the world stage," said Nezavisimaya Gazeta, a daily controlled by Yeltsin's former ally, influential business magnate Boris Berezovsky, who has called on the president to quit. ( (c) 1998 Reuters)



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 8:51:00 PM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
SOROS NOTE: They may not know it yet, but they will have a new leader arise very soon. Europe must have the military might to guarantee security to Israel. This means the Russian and American military machines must be LESS than Europe's or must be a PART of Europe's.

FOREIGN REPORT SEPTEMBER 17, 1998 ISSUE:2512

The next decade

IF THEY catch the ball that they have been thrown, and run with it, the next decade will belong to the Europeans - and not just the western ones. FOREIGN REPORT explains why.

Consider the United States. President Clinton wants to remain in office come what may. That may mean hearings over several weeks in the judiciary committee of the House of Representatives which may possibly
end with a vote to recommend impeachment, followed by a debate in the whole House. With the House controlled by Republicans, a vote recommending trial by the Senate could follow. This coulld take several more weeks. The president may hope that time will heal wounds and Americans will forgive him. On the other hand, the judiciary committee may hold back from recommending impeachment. In any event, Clinton's presidency is crippled. In the upcoming mid-term, congressional elections, Democrats will lose seats to Republicans in both the Senate and the House. The temptation to humiliate the president, by blocking any initiatives he may try to launch, will be strong (see next story).

Abroad, it was a taste of what is to come when the foreign minister of Sudan asked publicly why people should believe Clinton. The Israelis will see a weakened president, unable and unwilling to stop their expansionism on Arab lands to accommodate another wave of Russian Jewish immigrants; the Arabs will give up hope of help from Washington. Other world leaders may find it difficult to take Clinton seriously. The president's strongest card, the country's steady, non-inflatonary economic growth, may lose its strength as world markets shrink.

If the president resigns and is succeeded by Vice President Al Gore, the situation will barely improve as Gore is being investigated for allegedly using the White House as a base for fund-raising. Do not expect an "American decade".

Consider Asia, but only for a minute. The dream of an "Asian century" or an "Asian decade" has been exposed for what it is: a dream. Japan was supposed to be a world leader, but it remains almost immobile. .

This leaves Europe. True, it is in need of market reforms, a crackdown on welfare cheats and the introduction of flexible labour laws. But it is about to launch a powerful new currency, a rival to the dollar. Its economies are strong enough to survive hard times. It is expanding eastward to include fairly strong countries such as Poland, Hungary, Slovakia and Slovenia. It has imagination to create the Airbus, now overtaking Boeing.

If ever there was a chance for Europe to take the initiative in the world, it is during the next decade.



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 8:54:00 PM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
By: Aaron Lerner Date: 17 September, 1998 (Originally appeared in The Jerusalem Post 17 September, 1998)

Thanks to the incompetence of the Clinton administration, Saddam Hussein may very well be in a position to nuke Israel before the Jewish state's Arrow-2 anti-ballistic missile system is in place.

On September 15th former UN Special Commission (UNSCOM) Inspector Scott Ritter testified before the US House International Relations Committee that if Iraq acquires bomb-grade uranium from an outside source, it could assemble three nuclear weapons in "days or weeks" using pre-fabricated components it has concealed from UN inspectors.

And Ritter said he has little confidence that inspectors could detect such nuclear material if it were smuggled in.

Deliberate UNSCOM inspections backed by responsible American leadership could have uncovered the nuclear weapons, as well as the chemical and biological weapons, now being assembled, or stored by Iraq. But the Clinton administration has abandoned the scene.

The evidence was there for the taking, but US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright called off the inspectors.

These aren't rumors from mysterious unknown sources. Scott Ritter sacrificed his career so that he could share his warning call with the world.

His message is clear: The Clinton Administration has backed down from seriously dealing with the threat which Saddam Hussein presents today to the region and the world.

Secretary Albright explains that America called off the inspections because its aggressive monitoring threatened to break up the coalition which backed the UNSCOM program. But what's the point of the program if it isn't allowed to work?

Paradoxically the Clinton Administration could have used the major discoveries, which the canceled inspections promised, to bolster America's ability to insist on Iraqi compliance.

One would think that this stunning news would be a major topic of conversation in Israel, but it isn't. The Israeli media barely touches what may turn out to be the most critical story of this generation.

And the Israeli government? "The question of Iraq concerns us all", Prime Minister Netanyahu told me. "It concerns the United States as well. I don't want to get into the particular question of Mr. Ritter's testimony except to say that in the aggregate I believe that Saddam Hussein poses a challenge to everyone - to Israel, to the United States, to the peace and stability of the Middle East and beyond the Middle East. So I think the need to insure that his violations are not left unchallenged is crucial for everyone."

How about the opposition? Labor MK Ephraim Sneh is in Washington now with three other members of the Foreign Affairs Committee and he has been warning about Iran, but he told me that the Ritter story "doesn't
come up in the conversations. These are his claims against the US government and we aren't getting involved - we didn't come here to oppose the US government."

Sneh is well aware of the seriousness of the situation. "What is clear is that the inspection regime is in danger," he warns. "It has been eroded and is going to be eroded and it means that the danger of Iraqi missiles may becoming in a very, very short time, a real danger again, and this is another reason for us to enhance our countermeasures."

Moledet leader MK Rehavam Ze'evi calls for Israel to openly demand that the Clinton Administration take action before it is too late.

"It can't be that they speak aggressively to us about the percentage of a redeployment," he explained, "and yet when Saddam Hussein overtly threatens the peace in the Middle East he is treated with kid gloves.

"The US got exhausted after 6-7 years of embargo, " Ze'evi says, "and the outcome is that we are the ones who will suffers the results."

A senior member of the American Jewish peace groups explained that the Iraqi threat is important. Important - as a talking point for pushing for Israeli withdrawals. After all, he argued, what do a few percentages in the West Bank matter when Iraq has the bomb? His group has no plans to alert Clinton of its concerns.

The mainline American Jewish community also hesitates to take a conspicuous stand. As one leader explained, they don't want to be seen as Clinton bashers, nor do they want the Iraq issue to be seen as a
Jewish rather than universal issue. Pat Buchannan's charge that Israel's supporters dragged Bush into the Gulf War still has a chilling effect.

If the Iraqi challenge was a matter of decades - or even years - such arguments for restraint might have merit. But from everything that Ritter tells us we are not talking about years but rather the near term.

Israel's supporters won't have to stand alone on this issue. American legislators from both sides of the floor are starting to express concern as have some of the leading American editorial writers. But the story requires momentum. It needs events and activities to move the American public's focus, even momentarily, from
President Clinton's potential impeachment to his administration's dangerous passivity.

Can we meet the challenge? The alternative is beyond comprehension.

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis) (mail POB 982 Kfar Sava) Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-9-7411645 INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il pager 03-6750750 subscriber 4811 ARCHIVE/Subscribe: join.virtual.co.il Fax service limited to: American area codes 212, 313, 503, 514 (Montreal), 541, 718, 813 (Tampa) as well as Athens(+30 1), Lisbon (+351-1), Croatia
(+385), Zagreb (+385-1), United Kingdom (+44), Sweden (+46), Australia (+61 - Melbourne, Canberra,
Sydney,Darwin), Seoul (+82-2), Hong Kong (+852)



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 8:57:00 PM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
NATIONS DOING REVERSE SPLITS???? WE all know what happens to companies that do them.

By Alastair Macdonald

MOSCOW, Sept 17 - Russia's central bank, tackling the financial crisis even before Prime Minister Yevgeny Primakov has finished forming a government, said on Thursday it would print money to pay off state debts and re-float banks.

The move appeared to confirm fears that had already sent the rouble into a new dive as savers worried that Primakov, a compromise choice between President Boris Yeltsin and the Communists, would re-ignite rampant inflation in his attempts to temper market reforms with aid for local industry and welfare.

Yeltsin seemed set to drag out the process of completing the government line-up when he said he might need up to another week to study Primakov's proposals, especially for finance minister.

But, after nearly a month without a fully fledged cabinet following Yeltsin's dismissal of Sergei Kiriyenko as premier, anxious allies and foreign creditors began arriving in Moscow seeking assurances that the crisis was being handled.

German Foreign Minister Klaus Kinkel said the European Union had every confidence in Primakov, Russia's former foreign minister. He later met the new premier along with British and Austrian ministers forming the EU's diplomatic troika.

U.S. Deputy Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers told Congress that Russia faced a return of ruinous inflation -- which hit four digits in 1992 -- if it did not bite the bullet and rein in spending and deal with weaknesses in its banks.

"They must resist pressures to spend and lend which will doom the economy to another bout of high, perhaps hyperinflation," he said in prepared remarks.

Yet while centrist new First Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Shokhin hit out at predictions of new monetary emission, that was exactly what the central bank, now headed again by Soviet-era chief Viktor Gerashchenko, seemed to be doing.

"Emission, of course, emission," the bank's First Deputy Chairman Andrei Kozlov told Reuters when asked how the central bank planned to fund a promise to buy back for cash virtually worthless government debt from Russian banks.

The dilemma facing Primakov and his Communist first deputy Yuri Maslyukov, a former Soviet central planning chief, is whether to continue with austerity that kept inflation low but left millions of Russians, including the army and pensionsers, without any money at all or creating money of diminishing value.

Kiriyenko's administration froze payments on some $40 billion of government debt exactly a month ago, on August 17, virtually admitting the Russian state had gone bankrupt.

Under the central bank scheme, local commercial banks can use some of their obligatory reserves at the central bank to make payments. The move would treat the sclerosis in the Russian banking system that has
left many savers' accounts frozen and importers unable to replenish the shelves of big city stores.

But the offer to buy back bills only from Russian banks brought criticism from Western institutions facing big losses.

"They've openly announced they're going to discriminate in favour of Russian banks," said Stuart Brown, an analyst at Banque Paribas in London. "It also looks like the first stages of a bailout of banks who probably shouldn't be bailed out."

Boris Nemtsov, a liberal who lost his job as deputy prime minister in the bloodletting that followed last month's financial collapse, accused his successors of "stupid policies".

"To print a lot of money, that's the first message. To print money, that's the second message, and to print money, that's the third message, and no more," he told Reuters Television.

Primakov has told major creditors like the International Monetary Fund that he will press on with market reforms.

But foreign investors have voted with their feet in the opposite direction. The American Chamber of Commerce in Russia said U.S. companies were slashing jobs.

"We all of us believed in the reform process," chamber head Scott Blacklin said. "And now it turns out we were wrong."

The rouble, which lost some 30 percent of its value on the streets of Moscow on Wednesday, was weaker again. On the SELT electronic trading system of the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange (MICEX), it was
traded 15.80 per dollar compared with an official 12.4509 on Wednesday. It was worth 6.5 a month ago. Primakov met several regional governors on Tuesday. The former spymaster needs to impose Moscow's will on an economy increasingly fragmented into regional fiefdoms and plagued by the corruption that marred all earlier
attempts at reform.

Yeltsin met former Japanese Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto -- with whom he has warm relations -- and spoke of improvement in ties with Tokyo, a potentially big investor in Russia.

He also met his defence and interior ministers and promised to pay off some wage arrears to the army. In what could be seen as a sign of nervousness ahead of trade union protests planned for October 7, Yeltsin signed a series of police orders to crack down on riots and any attempts to block roads and railways.

Mikhail Shmakov, leader of Russia's Federation of Independent Trade Unions, told a news conference that in the months since the protest was first planned the plight of workers in the country had worsened "beyond our most horrible dreams."

On his way back home, the president, according to the Kremlin, stopped at a food store to talk to Moscow shoppers about the problems of rising prices and falling roubles.

It was a rare public excursion for the 67-year-old leader, who has seemed increasingly weak and isolated since giving in to parliament, prompting speculation he may step down early.



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 9:01:00 PM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
Cashless Society

In case you haven't noticed, cash is becoming passe. Increasingly, people the world over are reaching for those magnetically charged or transistor-powered plastic cards to pay for everything from food to fuel to fads. And as you might expect, this is no accident. Banks and governments are doing everything in their power to discard with the antiquated notion that money is represented by physical currency.

This type of switcheroo has been performed before. Once upon a time, U.S. currency was backed by gold reserves, but the deceptively-named privately-owned non-tax-paying Federal Reserve Corporation stopped this practice long ago. Since that time, money has been worth whatever the Reserve says it's worth, and what people believe it to be worth. So since money has no real value, it's already virtual, right? What difference does it make if we do away with physical currency entirely?

Well, to some folks, the coming about of the cashless society is proof positive that the Beast system, as predicted in the Book of Revelation, is here and in effect. They believe that you won't be able to buy or sell goods or even be able to functionally exist in society without being assigned a special identifying number or mark. Given the increasing popularity of biometric ID devices and the push for national ID cards, this isn't exactly an unlikely scenario.

To others, a cashless financial system would guarantee that everyone will be hopelessly caught in the dubious cycle of debt and repayment to which so many credit card junkies have become accustomed. Since all
transactions are monitored and recorded by privately-owned computer systems, anyone who has access to them, whether they be lending institutions, governments, or individuals, have the power to make your life a living hell.

Yet to the unquestioning majority, the cashless society represents the latest gift from above in our eternal quest for safety and convenience. They have been told that the discarding of currency will force an end to underground economies (therefore solving the "drug problem"), stop costly check fraud, and do away with bank robberies entirely. Besides, it sure does make it obscenely easy to order swank merchandise from Disinformation's online store!

Whatever your take on the coming cashless society, you can bet your bottom binary dollar that Visa, MasterCard, Citibank, Mondex and all the other multinational financial megacorps won't rest until inherently anonymous cash is obsolete and all transactions require their services (for a fee, of course). What better place
for the invisible hand of capitalist economics to pick than from your virtual pocket?

Whatever the case, one thing's certain: the more dependent our society's economic infrastructure becomes on computers, the more vulnerable we all become to glitches in the system, man-made or otherwise. You might not want to throw away that last bank statement before 1/1/00, or you just might find yourself reluctantly
singing, "I owe my soul to the company store"...



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 9:03:00 PM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
By Sheryl WuDunn New York Times Service

TOKYO - As statistics and despair pile up in the countries of Asia, it is becoming clear that the region's recession is deepening, along with the economic and social devastation it brings.

The number of people out of work is rising, and economic output is sinking at its fastest rate in years - in leading countries such as South Korea and Japan, it has been decades since there has been a decline so severe and so widespread.

Banks in many countries are shaky, and corporate failures are feeding a sense of gloom. Stock markets in much of the region have fallen by more than half from their peaks; Malaysia's is down 80 percent in two years.

Unemployment has soared. Soup kitchens and rice lines are appearing around the region, and parks and boulevards are filling up with the new homeless.

As governments across East Asia have released half-year report cards in the last few weeks, hopes that there will be a recovery soon have vanished.

''A handful of countries are under depression,'' said Tim Condon, regional economist at Morgan Stanley Dean Witter in Hong Kong. ''People's expectations are adjusting downward. They're close to the point of despair.''

Mr. Condon is one of a number of economists beginning to call the predicament of some Asian countries a depression. He does not compare it, yet, to the Great Depression of the 1930s but says it is much more severe than a mere recession, which has been the common experience in the era since World War II and is usually characterized by a relatively short and shallow fall in output that leads to a moderate rise in unemployment.

In particular, Indonesia, South Korea, Thailand, Hong Kong and Malaysia are undergoing severe contractions in their economies and spikes in unemployment.

Countries with stronger economies are being affected as well. Governments are trimming their growth projections to about 1 percent in the Philippines and Singapore, which do not have the same structural
problems as the countries in recession.

Nor has China emerged unscathed. Its pace of growth for the first half of 1998 slowed to an official 7 percent, the lowest since 1991.

The Chinese government tried to maintain its 8 percent growth target for this year - in part with a plan to increase home ownership across the country - but had to scale back that ambition because of the fallout from the surrounding region.

Even Taiwan, which has become an important potential source of capital throughout the region, now predicts its growth will reach 5.3 percent, compared with 6.8 percent in 1997.

The agony of Indonesia is virtually in a class of its own.

Millions are slipping below the poverty line. In the first half of this year, Indonesia's economy was officially estimated to have shrunk, on an annual basis, by 12.2 percent. For the year, the government says the fall in output is expected to be 13 percent, but private economists say it could be as severe as 20 percent.

Falling currencies make the declines much more stark in dollar terms. While all the statistics at this point are somewhat dubious, the Indonesian government has said that in dollar terms, output per person is expected to fall to $436 in 1998, from $1,055 in 1997

''I don't think Europeans or Americans could really understand how bad things are,'' said Simon Mahadevan Flint, a Singapore-based economist who is head of research at IDEA, an independent economic consulting group. The Indonesians, he said, ''are experiencing massive contractions in the economy from an already low base, with extensive discrepancies between rich and poor.''

People who had moved out of mud huts and into wooden shacks as the economy surged have now been thrown back into the fields, he said.

Indonesia's economic crisis has been compounded by political turmoil, which in turn has brought about deeper economic troubles. The banking system has essentially halted. Many corporations simply cannot repay their loans, and those that can are not doing so, partly because the banks to which they owe money may not be around much longer.

The result is that bad debts are swelling to as much as one-fourth of all loans, according to some economists.

In such a chaotic environment, relying on traditional economic measures is extremely difficult. Official figures for unemployment in Indonesia have not been made public recently, but economists working from anecdotal evidence say it is skyrocketing and could reach 25 percent or perhaps even 40 percent of the labor force in urban areas next year.



To: Lucky Lady who wrote (334)9/17/1998 9:04:00 PM
From: SOROS  Respond to of 1151
 
MOSCOW (AP) -- Russia successfully launched an intercontinental ballistic missile today in a military exercise, news agencies reported.

The RS-12M Topol missile was launched from the Plesetsk cosmodrome in northern Russia and hit a target in the Kamchatka area in the Russian Far East, according to ITAR-Tass and Interfax, citing the Strategic Missile Command.

''This launch once again convincingly proved the high combat readiness of the force and the reliability and technical readiness of intercontinental ballistic missiles of this type,'' Interfax quoted the command's press service as saying.

The command said it was the 58th straight successful launch of the Topol ICBM system.