CIEN News_Posted: 9:00 p.m., EDT, 9/16/98
After Tellabs deal dies, Ciena focuses on WDM delivery
By Loring Wirbel
LINTHICUM, MD. - Ciena Corp., the wavelength-division multiplexing (WDM) specialist that for two years could seemingly do no wrong, has been through three weeks of a hell that most newly public companies only have nightmares about. Just as its shareholders were about to approve a takeover by Tellabs Inc. (Lisle, Ill.), Ciena faced an inexplicable decision by AT&T Co. to discontinue testing of Ciena's 40-channel WDM system, leading to a collapse of Ciena's stock price.
The original $7.1 billion Tellabs deal was renegotiated in early September for $4.6 billion. But a decision by alternative carrier Digital Telepoint Inc. to go with WDM systems from Pirelli Cable led to another precipitous fall in Ciena stock. On Sept. 14, Ciena announced that the merger plans with Tellabs were canceled, leading to a third stock drop. On Sept. 15 Ciena closed at 13, representing a 77 percent fall from its glory days on Wall Street.
Ciena chief executive Patrick Nettles announced a reorganization under which Steve Chaddick, former senior vice president for products and technologies, will oversee strategy and corporate development. It's no surprise that Chaddick will focus on extensive testing of optical systems with carriers, and on showing the reliability and ease of use of Ciena's DWDM systems, still the only dense-wavelength systems to ship in large volumes.
What makes the task daunting, as Chaddick lamented during an interview at the National Fiber Optic Engineering Conference in Orlando, Fla., is that Ciena did not fail to execute in terms of delivering products on time, or in delivering products that worked. Responding to a Wall Street perception that a company is in trouble becomes almost an exercise in shadow boxing.
"I really don't see anything we would have done differently," Chaddick said. "We are shipping DWDM products, we have a sound strategy and we have 1,500 motivated employees who are now angry employees, perhaps justifiably so."
But Chaddick said that Nettles' decision to reorganize middle-level management was not driven by the stock collapse, or by the end of merger discussions with Tellabs. Instead, he said, Ciena's top executives used the turmoil to reexamine what the customer base was like. When Ciena first rolled out its 16-channel long-haul DWDM systems, it had a handful of interexchange-carrier customers like Sprint and WorldCom. With the advent of metropolitan-area DWDM systems and denser 40-channel multiplexers, Ciena was dealing with a larger variety of small, competitive local-exchange carriers, second-tier interexchange carriers and other public-networking companies that could prove more fickle in buying habits than the large carriers.
At the same time, companies ranging from Lucent Technologies to Cambrian Systems have begun shipping DWDM systems for both metropolitan and long-haul networks, giving Ciena its first real multitiered competition.
Ciena's advantage, Chaddick said, will be a detailed understanding of performance monitoring, and a grasp of what types of electrical-layer system protection will have to be preserved as customers try an exotic mix of Internet Protocol over Sonet, IP-over-ATM-over-Sonet and even IP over a raw optical DWDM layer.
Many companies are talking about abandoning all electro-optical conversions in order to conduct all switching and routing in the optical layer. Chaddick said that what these developers forget is that per-port monitoring, necessary for advanced quality-of-service features, still requires electrical-layer monitoring and network management, something Ciena has specialized in since day one.
"There's no end to fascinating optical-networking ideas out there, but if someone wants to build a real-world network out of view graphs, let them try and do it," Chaddick said.
Chaddick's message was borne out in technical sessions at the Orlando conference this week, when representatives from Bell Atlantic and BellSouth described the heavy degree of fault testing and dispersion studies done by Ciena researchers in building DWDM test beds.
With a reduced share price, Ciena remains an attractive target for Cisco Systems Inc. and other companies rumored to be interested in it, though Chaddick would not comment on any future suitors taking Tellabs' place. But with a reduced capital base, it is also harder for Ciena to justify the significant amount of in-house manufacturing and test necessary for building its proprietary systems. The company designs its own Bragg gratings, for example, to achieve a channel density that would not be possible using discrete optical filters. Ciena also finds it necessary to manufacture its own optical amps for its systems.
"We have a huge amount of money invested in developing the things we could not outsource, including assembly of optoelectronic modules," Chaddick said. "Not even Lucent goes this far; it buys a lot of its components from Corning."
Provided Ciena can expand its customer base with the right prices and feature sets to appeal to the new, smaller breed of carrier, the only thing the company can do is to continue on its existing path, improving execution by delivering reliable products on time. Fortunately, Chaddick said, customers are not responding to the Wall Street turmoil. If anything, the events are giving the company a positive backlash, as existing customers and new prospects say that Ciena was hammered unnecessarily in a month of events company executives would just as soon forget. |