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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (53035)9/17/1998 2:24:00 PM
From: ViperChick Secret Agent 006.9  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
there is a prevailing thinking that triple witch no longer has the same effect that it used to for a variety of reasons ..one of which is that hedge funds etc...start winding up positions earlier

patick slevin had a post somewhere on the Systems thread about what Larry Mcmillan was calling for in terms of arbitrage movements....over or under certain numbers on the OEX

edit
found it for you
Message 5751894

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just heard something on CNN that I thought was cute...ever since Johnny cochran's famous glove quote we have heard similiar quotes....

the latest from a house member went something like

the spin to win may result in the move to remove......referencing the latest Henry hyde story....



To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (53035)9/17/1998 2:33:00 PM
From: AlanH  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
Tom D, re:Expiry

What's the thread consensus on the market direction going into options expiration tomorrow? I see a drop to 7600 before a real uptrend, but don't know how options expiry affects direction in a down market. EDIT: Specific interest is in the internet stocks.

It's my belief that many MM/arb's were short stock going into expiry week. If so, the question is "when did squaring commence, and how much remains." IMO, squaring commenced last Friday and climaxed yesterday. Having said that, some residual activity may assist the market from falling more rapidly.

You've mentioned the inets, which I consider to be an exception. (Kind of a broad genus, don't you think?) This group has the reputation of being highly speculative with low float. So, the options player [I'll assume that's your game] has the additional worry of share shortages. The group might move in sympathy with the overall market, although individual issues may behave in apparently irrational fashion. A quick scan of the Internet Indices reveals that options activity is historically HIGH; recall in my earlier post that today is the last day to TRADE these indices -- however, settlement can occur thru tomorrow, offering MM/arb's additional latitude in manipulation. To condense this voluminous paragraph: opening a SEP position (at this time) on the internets is like betting red or black, and yes there is a green.

Hope this helps, JMO, BWDIK, actual mileage varies, void where prohibited by law, see your broker for details.

GT,
Alan