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Strategies & Market Trends : HONG KONG -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ramsey Su who wrote (2331)9/17/1998 11:04:00 PM
From: Ron Bower  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2951
 
Ramsey,

"Anyone wants to venture a guess as to what will happen to all the global markets if HK fails? It could be the start of a world depression."

I don't understand what would make you say this. I'm not reading anything to indicate the situation in HK is anywhere near that bad. Most of the property developers are having reduced profits, not massive losses. Most of the banks are conservatively solvent compared to the rest of Asia, and to the US. As I understand it, HK home buyers are required to put up 30% down payment. Leaves a lot of room on the mortgage. In the US, one can go as low as 5% in certain situations.

In addition to US bank exposure in the global economy, the US consumer and mortgage debt exposure puts US banks much more at risk from a recessionary period. US property values are inflated just as those in HK were. The worry isn't HK, but the US.

JMHO,
Ron