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To: John Hunt who wrote (16436)9/18/1998 6:55:00 AM
From: Link Lady  Respond to of 18056
 
Well lets hope the bottom arrives soon so we know where it is going to be.OUCH OUCH OUCH!



To: John Hunt who wrote (16436)9/18/1998 7:03:00 AM
From: Link Lady  Respond to of 18056
 
Will it come to higher interest rates?

09/18 4:53A (DJ) =Signs Of G 7 Crisis Efforts Offering Little Cheer To Asia
Story 0674 =Signs Of G 7/Efforts/Asia -3: 'Wag The Economy'
For months, Cho Dong-chuel, an economist at the Korea Development Institute
in Seoul, has been calling for the Fed to address Asia's problems by lowering
interest rates. But he cautions there limits on what can be spurred by the
'central bank of the world.'
Lower rates in the U.S. could ensure that the U.S. market remains out of
recession, lift the yen's exchange rate and help spread capital allocation
more broadly than the U.S., but the benefits would need to be combined with
other efforts. 'I never thought this would solve all the problems of Asian
countries,' he said.
'Japan should play some role here, but if the U.S. helps Japan, that would
help other Asian countries, as well,' Cho said. The problems in Japan extend
through the region as its banks withdraw credit from other countries, while
its appetite for imported goods and commodities keeps prices low.
Some analysts are cynical about Clinton's strategy in mustering his G 7
counterparts to action and said they suspect Asia's interests aren't really at
the forefront of Clinton's new focus. The efforts have been jokingly labeled
'Wag the Economy' at securities firm ABN-Amro Asia Ltd., for example.
Economists there said the president looks like he is stoking the sense of
crisis to squelch pressure to remove him over his sex scandal, in the same way
this year's Hollywood movie 'Wag The Dog' depicted how a fictional president

in similar circumstances staged a war.
Eugene Galbraith, ABN-Amro's head of Asian research, said Clinton has
stepped up his rhetoric because 'political leaders must be seen to be doing
something to improve the situation.' But Galbraith said the president's
efforts don't 'move the ball much.' Plus, Galbraith added that he is
'disturbed' that the Fed's independence may be being undermined by Clinton's
call for 'concerted steps to spur growth.'
(MORE) DOW JONES NEWS 09 -18 -98
05:07 AM

Galbraith said he wants the U.S. and other G 7 officials to use some
'original thought' and pressure money center banks to accept losses on their
bad loans in the region in order to reduce the burdens through the region,
rather than continuing to fall back on the International Monetary Fund to
ensure risky credits remain recoverable.
Kim, at Goldman Sachs in Hong Kong, however, said he sees it the other way,
saying Asian governments need to restructure banking systems by nationalizing
debts. He said, 'Let's face it, where have you seen a banking crisis where the
taxpayers weren't stuck with the bill?'
Meanwhile, Simon Ogus, Warburg Dillon Read's economist in Hong Kong, said
that containing the crisis is purely the U.S.'s responsibility at this point.
He went so far as to warn that some type of military conflict in Asia is

inevitable within six months without attention from the U.S. that really eases
the pain.
He said he favors radical inflation-generation in the U.S, not the
short-term spike in stocks that a rate cut would spark there. 'It's a
supply-of-money, not a cost-of-money issue in the world at the moment,' he
said. 'The Fed can print as much money as the world requires.'
Ogus said at a conference this week that the U.S. should resist the
temptation of 'throwing plaster at the problem' and bailing out Brazil through
the IMF.
A collapse of the Brazilian economy would pave the way toward the radical
inflation Ogus said is urgently needed. 'If that occurs, it will finally give
the wake up call to the Europeans and Americans that really Asia's problems
are their problems. And once it destroys the irrational exuberance in those
economies it basically gives Greenspan the room to go to that kind of policy
response,' said Ogus.



To: John Hunt who wrote (16436)9/18/1998 7:20:00 AM
From: Simon  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
John, get out your check book and give them a hand.



To: John Hunt who wrote (16436)9/18/1998 7:29:00 AM
From: Simon  Respond to of 18056
 
Well, Globex just went negative. For what ever that is worth. Nasdaq has been down all night on globex.



To: John Hunt who wrote (16436)9/18/1998 11:43:00 AM
From: Link Lady  Respond to of 18056
 
Japan parties clinch banking cleanup deal
canoe.com
A compromise is good, "but the devil is in the details," John Noonan, head of institutional sales at National Australia
Bank in Sydney, told Reuters Television earlier in the day.
"The market will still be skeptical."