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To: Mary Cluney who wrote (65063)9/18/1998 10:30:00 AM
From: L. Adam Latham  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Mary:

Re: It maybe that your idol Kurlak will base his forecasts using knowledge gained from these two pages of journalistic fluff and then try to fool people with his "expertise" - but investors with limited resources should try to exercise better judgement.

I was listening to some Billy Joel on my way into work this morning, and the lyrics to "She's Always a Woman" seemed to capture the feeling many on this thread feel about Tom Kurlak. If you replace "she" with "he", "her" with "him", and "woman" with "Kurlak", you get the following (my apologies to Billy Joel):

[He's] Always a [Kurlak]
========================
.
.
.
[He] will promise you more
Than the Garden of Eden
Then [he'll] carelessly cut you and laugh
while you're bleeding
But [he'll] bring out the best
And the worst you can be
Blame it all on yourself
Cause [he's] always a [Kurlak] to me

Oh-[he] takes care of [him]self
[He] can wait if [he] wants
[He's] ahead of [his] time
Oh-and [he] neve gives out
And [he] never gives in
[He] just chages [his] mind

[He] is frequently kind
And [he's] suddenly cruel
[He] can do as [he] pleases
[He's] nobody's fool
But [he] can't be convicted
[He's] earned [his] degree
And the most [he] will do
Is throw shadows at you
But [he's] always a [Kurlak] to me

Adam - My opinion only, not Intel's (I think)



To: Mary Cluney who wrote (65063)9/18/1998 12:38:00 PM
From: Paul Engel  Respond to of 186894
 
Mary - Re: " My question is, if the software doesn't work in the computer - how will it work any better in a speicalized device? Imagine going around with hundreds of devices (and lose the economy of scale) for your computing needs."

This is an excellent observation - and a rebuttal of the "uber appliance" model.

Imagine going into a meeting and the guy at the Super WhiteBoard asks: "Does anyone know how to set the Clock on this thing? It keeps flashing 12:00 .

Many who portend to see the future make the blatant and nearly-always erroneous assumption that doing things completely differently will be easy and 100% flawless.

The trouble with these predictors of the future is that none of them have been to the future to see what it will really be like.

Paul



To: Mary Cluney who wrote (65063)9/18/1998 12:40:00 PM
From: rudedog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Mary -
RE: They claim whereas the PC is the generalist, the strength of the myriad appliances will lie in specialization

A good rule to keep in mind is one of Gordon Bell's business guidelines - 'General Purpose MIPS are always cheaper than special purpose MIPS to do any given job'. It's an economy of scale and related technology issue and while not 100% true it correctly predicts results of most design decisions over the years.



To: Mary Cluney who wrote (65063)9/18/1998 4:13:00 PM
From: Harry Landsiedel  Respond to of 186894
 
Mary Cluney. Re: "I do not claim to know what the future of computing will be, but I can guarantee you that it will not be as predicated by the Economist."

Amen to that. I read the article and found it's thesis flawed for the reasons you state plus some others.

I remember reading a true story about an early developer of the refrigerator who went from door to door interviewing early buyers. Every woman had a host of complaints about the thing being too noisy, not working well, etc., etc. After all the interviews he felt so bad he went back to each one and offered to take it back and return their money. NOT ONE took him up on the offer. THEY JUST WANTED THE THING IMPROVED.

This story illustrates how users of radical new technologies think IMHO. The Economist in their intellectual arrogance failed to understand that, and for a normally perceptive magazine they have allowed themselves to fall under the sway of the Ellison/McNeely cabal.

HL