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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Monty Lenard who wrote (28350)	9/19/1998 11:07:00 AM
From: HairBall	Respond to of 94695

Monty: Good article... Regards, LG

To: Monty Lenard who wrote (28350)	9/19/1998 11:07:00 AM
From: Skeet Shipman	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 94695

Hi Monty, In most basic terms, recessions are the result of over capacity, over construction, and over abundance. Where one spends their way out of a recession depends on its stage and severity, the demographics and propensity to save, and the productivity and infrastructure of the economy. THERE IS NO ONE FORMULA. The IMF 's focus on fiscal monetary policies can lead to horridness results. Where one spends their way out of recessions should not be a matter of political philosophy. (Rapid advances in technology produce periods of over abundance and over capacity.) Skeet PS: Bill my indicators are negative.

To: Monty Lenard who wrote (28350)	9/19/1998 11:41:00 AM
From: GROUND ZERO™	Respond to of 94695

Monty, Nice article. Thank you. GZ

To: Monty Lenard who wrote (28350)	9/19/1998 12:06:00 PM
From: BubbaFred	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

More thoughts of what's to come. Message 5789387 csis.org Looks like a no win situation, if one believes the market force in the last decade was based on global prosperity and economic growth. Without it, the market can no longer look ahead 10 - 20 years. All expectations and projections have to be curbed and made rational. That may bring reasonable valuations of P/E's to the 5 to 10 range, rather than the 20 to 1,000 range. I still find too much optimism among the young punks, inexperienced brokers and investment advisors. Too many of them just lack knowledge and perception of the international events that had influenced the market and which will continue to influence the future direction.