To: art slott who wrote (2884 ) 9/19/1998 5:42:00 PM From: ahhaha Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4748
The tv is a one way medium. You have choice up to what someone gives you. Some choice, not a lot. It is like 3D at the theatres in the '50s. Why, it's a new dimension of viewing, but it's the same old data . Novelties work for a while. The pet rock was a success. So is chat. The only meaningful thing that ACTV is doing is they are commercializing one of the first order compactifications of the keyboard. Unfortunately, like the computer without the net you can only get out of the box what is already there. The point is how does one appropriately manage dynamic interactivity? The paradigm now is interactivity. The value of tv is waning as a source of entertainment and this decline will accelerate once there is ubiquitous deployment of cable modem. The world will discover the incredible potential of entertainment through interactivity. Is there a way to utilize the compactified keyboard to adequately provide the dynamic interactive potential of the net? I believe there is. The solution requires near synchronous transfer. How about playing a virtual basketball game with others at their respective ACTV sites? How about interactive Myst? How about conducting your own orchestra? How about collaborative construction of complex machines? How about remote group therapy or remote medicine? We do something like this now through the primitive interface when we interact on SI. Malone's couch potato thesis won't wash when others are watching others interactively, so ACTV needs a vision about where to go after the public buries the quaint re-incarnation of colored glasses. GI is saying their device doesn't work very well and they already have a replacement, but that isn't addressing the above issue. Motorola is moving towards my above concept through their provocative Blackbird creation. Blackbird needs the high speed return channel to sing, but it is a direct competitor for the eyeball space/time against ACTV. If you're so engrossed with Blackbird's capability, you will tend to put off subscription to ACTV. Blackbird is taking off and will refute the universally held view that MSFT is taking over. Go Blackbird. The charade is that this company is already taxiing when it hasn't even got out of the hangar. It will take a million subscriptions for this company to go, to go beyond critical mass, to stay beyond break even. That's a long haul and a rough one. No play for all you speculators, but could be quite lucrative in 2002.