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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: yard_man who wrote (28401)9/19/1998 10:53:00 PM
From: tide  Respond to of 94695
 
tippet - Thanks for a very thorough & educated reply. I really have had strong doubts as to how valuable such info is, esp when out of date & insider selling often occurs for various reasons which don't give much indication of what a stock may do.

When I go to Yahoo for info & prob other sites they show a lot of 'planned sales' of which I am uncertain if that means much or could that be just a smoke screen?

tide



To: yard_man who wrote (28401)9/20/1998 3:47:00 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
"According to Fossback the biggest bullish indicator is buying by members of the NYSE. If they are buying (net) it is very bullish. I don't know how one find out about this one."

Barron's, WSJ (Monday, I think) and NY Time I think provide member buying figures along with specialists. Also, it's on marketgauge.

marketgauge.com

Or rather there, they work out a rate of change of the member and specialists buy/sell.

I used to calculate it each week for myself from Barron's, but haven't lately.

I think the general insider buying represents the same unwarranted optimism behind buybacks by companies of their own high-P/E stock.

The net selling in mutual funds and even a decline in money-market balances (where is THAT money going to?) seem to me to suggest a lack of support for any dramatic upward move. I think the next big washout could start any time. There should be some tax-loss selling soon.

But I expect the really dramatic tax-loss selling a year from now.