To: SOROS who wrote (416 ) 9/21/1998 1:10:00 PM From: SOROS Respond to of 1151
Wall Street Journal - 09/21/98 TOKYO -- A compromise plan to resuscitate Japan's troubled banking system appeared to be unraveling Monday, as ruling and opposition party leaders publicly fought over just what was agreed upon. Prime Minister Keizo Obuchi struck the banking bill deal with opposition parties late last week as he prepared to leave for his first summit with U.S. President Clinton. Mr. Obuchi is hoping to cite the deal as evidence Japan is making progress in cleaning up its bad loan mess when he confers with Mr. Clinton on Tuesday. But whether he will be able to do that looked questionable on Monday, as sharp disputes emerged over exactly what had been agreed to in several key areas of the proposed package. Fears the deal might collapse sent Japanese stock prices spiraling down to a new 12-year low. At issue is the fate of the ailing Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan Ltd. and other lenders staggering under the weight of soured loans, many of which were extended before Japan's economy entered a prolonged slump nearly 10 years ago. En route to the U.S., Mr. Obuchi signaled that LTCB -- one of the country's biggest banks -- wouldn't be allowed to founder. That appeared to directly contradict opposition claims the bank would be declared insolvent and nationalized. "If the Long-Term Credit Bank were to fail, it would cause a major impact on the global economy," Mr. Obuchi told reporters. Also on Monday, Chief Cabinet Secretary Hiromu Nonaka expressed support for using $97.5 billion in previously approved funds to bail out distraught banks, indicating the ruling party was backing away from a concession to scrap the funding plan. In response to the ruling party's apparent backtracking, opposition leader Naoto Kan, head of the Democratic Party of Japan, has warned the entire pact was in danger of falling apart. Another opposition leader, Democratic Socialist Party head Takako Doi, said she doubted the compromise would successfully be rendered into legislation without significant alterations. "Whether there was really an agreement between the ruling party and the opposition is a question," Mr. said. "A lot is going to change while the agreement gets written into law." The uncertainty comes before details of the preliminary accord are hammered out in a package of six bills. The ruling party needs opposition support if the bills are to win passage in the upper house of Parliament, where it doesn't have a majority. A third contested issue involves the oversight powers of Japan's Finance Ministry, which has been tainted by its inability to resolve the banking industry's woes and the implication of its officials in an influence-peddling scandals earlier this year. The opposition has demanded that the ministry's regulatory authority over the financial industry be wholly transferred to a separate institution. Mr. Nonaka, however, said that the ministry is unlikely to lose its policy planning and global finance monitoring functions. With Japan's banks in clear need of action, the widening political gap concerned many analysts. "It is distressing to see how much political time is being taken up by bickering," said Brian Waterhouse, a banking analyst in the Tokyo office of James Capel Pacific Ltd.