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To: jhg_in_kc who wrote (66456)9/21/1998 1:26:00 PM
From: The Phoenix  Respond to of 176387
 
jhg,

Not a very well thought out aritcle...but interesting nonetheless. I think there are a number of flaws here. Indeed the TV and PC will become one. In fact, the TV, PC, Telephone, Answering machine, and telemetry will all become one. It's long story which I've presented on various threads before but I won't belabor this here.

Here's another perspecitve...

techweb.com

Microsoft's WebTV set-top box may vanish within two
years, as consumers turn to lower-priced PCs and
digital-television receivers to access the Internet at
home, according to analysts.

But while even Microsoft is rumored to be questioning
the future of the WebTV Internet-access device,
analysts said Friday if the product doesn't survive on its
own, the technology inside the box may have a role
elsewhere.

"The set-top box on its own really has no future," said
Paul O'Donovan, consumer applications analyst at
Dataquest, in Egham, Surrey in the United Kingdom.
"The stand-alone set-top box will just disappear. They
will probably disappear in the next 18 months to two
years as digital television arrives."

The idea of WebTV and its WebTV Networks intranet
service could survive, but not in the form of a separate
Web browser on TV, said O'Donovan. "But in the long
term, the functionality will appear within the TV or
through digital set-top boxes," he said.

WebTV as a separate box will struggle because it has a
relatively small market, according to Adam Daum,
senior analyst at researcher Inteco in Woking, England.
This could make Microsoft question the product's
future, he said.

"Microsoft has a history of announcing bold technology
strategies and being perfectly prepared to drop them if
they don't work," Daum said.

But Microsoft is prepared to buy a company for the
technology involved rather than just the end product, he
said. "They may take the technology of WebTV and put
it in other devices," he said.

Digital television will launch around the world over the
coming months. Some broadcasters and set-top box
manufacturers are planning to include Internet access
alongside high-quality broadcasting and electronic
program guides.

In the United Kingdom, cable-TV subscribers will be
offered a combined digital TV and Internet-access
service from cable operator Cable & Wireless
Communications. Digital TV set-top boxes being
manufactured by British company Pace Micro
Technologies will incorporate Cisco's Internet-access
technology, under a deal announced earlier this month.
Pace also manufactures WebTV boxes in Europe under
a license from Microsoft.

WebTV has achieved limited success in North America
and is only just making its way into Western Europe.
The problem has been finding what sort of person
wants to buy a TV-Internet access device, said
O'Donovan.

"WebTV hasn't been too successful because they are
offering the box to people who are neither PC- nor
electronic device-literate, and only reaching a small
market," he said.

The over-45 age group has proven to be one of
WebTV's more successful markets, said Inteco's
Daum. "The latest info is that it is finding a market
among over 45s, driven partly by kids giving the
devices to their parents so they can keep in touch with
them by e-mail," he said.
OG



To: jhg_in_kc who wrote (66456)9/21/1998 1:27:00 PM
From: Mohan Marette  Respond to of 176387
 
Looks like we may end up on the + side!? I did read that article in New York Times biz section the other day,thanks for posting it here. You know they have that WEB TV thing happening for $199 plus $19.95 monthly fee.I don't think I want to browse the web on the TV from my couch,but I am sure there is a market for it. Philips NV used to own them,I guess MSFT now has them but even the Philips guy said watching TV is different from using a PC and he should know they made it.