Do you mean numbers, or interpretatins? <<Princeton Economics InternationalT is perhaps the largest global strategic advisory firm in the world with assets in excess of US$1 billion. Our origin stems from the "real world" perspective not mere ivory tower theory. PEI has evolved over the years by aiding clients directly and getting involved in solving their particular problems around the world. It has been this practical experience that has shaped our research and computer model designs.
Today, PEI has grown over the past 30 years with over 300 employees in the group on five continents. PEI provides specific forecasting on more than 100,000 individual instruments and statistics including currencies, cross-rates, bonds, shares, interest rates, commodities and economic statistics worldwide making us the largest research organization in the field of investment and global economics. It has been our resources and our experience that our clients have come to rely upon around the world. At a cost of over $60 million, PEI has developed the first fully functioning Artificial Intelligence computer system, which monitors the world economy each and every day. It is our commitment to research that is simply unmatched in the international arena. Once you have become familiar with our terminology and our methodology of global correlation and capital flow analysis, you the end-user, can tap into a wealth of information and research that is simply unprecedented in the financial industry.
PEI has taken great steps to avoid the pitfalls of most computer modeling attempts. The primary reason for the failure of many models to accurately forecast long-term trends stems from their neglect to test systems over great periods of time - preferably 100 years or more. Models based on 10, 20 or 30 years of data still show only one side of an economic trend within a long-term perspective. One can not hope for a forecast of a coming depression or a new great bull market unless the database extends back in time for at least 100 years if not several. The second cause of most forecasting model failures stems from the human element, which begins with a set of predetermined assumptions. For example, if one assumes that if interest rates rise stocks will decline without proving that relationship over long periods of time, then the model itself will be biased and ultimately fail. By looking at centuries of data, one can definitively determine how capital responds under all conditions. Those who made the fatal mistake of assuming a static relationship between stocks and interest rates missed the bull market between 1994 and 1998 since the Federal Reserve raised rate 8 times while the Dow Jones Industrials doubled. Instead of beginning with human assumptions or bias, the design of our model has produced the only objective system. We have created a cognitive learning machine in the field of investment and economics - something never attempted before in this industry. By monitoring all markets, economies and political statistics as well as net capital movement on a global scale, our model correlates everything worldwide offering an impressive insight into the true international trends.
The PEI model has proven itself over time by providing PEI with a reputation of holding the highest possible degree of accuracy combined with a consistent global forecasting result. It is this model which proved to be the ONLY such system that correctly forecast the 1987 Crash and that the markets would make new highs within TWO years! It has been our in-depth research that has made our forecasts possible and our research has been much sought-after during periods of crisis and turmoil. It was President Reagan's administration that requested our research when answers were needed as to the future in the days following the 1987 melt-down - (See Brady Commission (Task Force in charge of investigating the 1987 stock market crash)
Our model has also correctly forecast virtually every major turning point in the currencies, share markets and of course the peak and Crash of Tokyo in 1989 not to mention political trends along the way. It is the very nature of our model and its approach to a global economy that has provided its most impressive results. It is simply IMPOSSIBLE for any market to move significantly without having some impact upon the entire marketplace. It is the very global perspective offered by our models that has produced the consistent forecasting of Princeton Economics International™, not the mere opinion of any individual.
It has been PEI's unique approach to global strategic forecasting that has earned us the reputation we currently enjoy worldwide. Our clients have come to depend upon us for the "real" information even in the area of economic statistics that have become extremely error prone and dangerous to both the business and investment communities (See Data Errors). The NY Post wrote that PEI is "one of the most prestigious economic research companies in the nation." (7/5/85) The Weekly Toyokeizai (Weekly Tokyo Economic Journal) wrote... "Princeton Economics International Ltd. is an influential investment advisory company which provides advice and fund management from a global point of view for governmental agencies and institutional investors globally" (8/5/95) and our chairman was named as "America' Top Economist" by Equity Magazine of Canada. In March of 1998, PEI was voted #1 forecasting organization in the annual poll of Japanese institutions by the Nikkei Financial Daily. It was the Wall Street Journal. who also named our founder as one of the highest paid consultants in the world as far back as 1983. (See press clips from around the world).
Princeton's clientele is primarily institutional and corporate for whom we play a strategic role by providing important research into the ever-growing complexity of the global economy. We understand the problems of international business and are often called upon by even government to help explain what is happening in the "real world" and its impact upon the global economy. (See PEI 1996 US Congressional Testimony).
From around the world, it is becoming increasingly obvious that analysis, economic or investment, can no longer be conducted on a pure domestic basis. The speed with which capital is capable of moving means that any economy can be disrupted by international capital flows due to external considerations. It is in this growing age of internationalism that PEI has devoted its resources to provide the most complete global capital flow models ever constructed. It is for this reason that PEI has become a leader in strategic global advice for the investment and business communities alike. One of our greatest assets is our global presence. With our international client base, we are on top of the real problems and trends long before they hit the headlines in the world media. Through our effort to hold seminars that circle the globe twice each year, we bring the latest information and trends directly to our clients where interaction is greatly encouraged.
Today, PEI services the global community by bringing its long-term experience to help our clients cope with all the risks of our modern age from FX and interest rates to share markets and political risk. Because the global economy is our specialty, some of the largest public funds in the world use PEI models to assist them in dealing with international asset allocation. Between our corporate and institutional clients, PEI provides strategic global advice on assets well in excess of US$2.5 trillion around the world through its offices in Princeton, NJ, Tokyo, London, Hong Kong and Sydney, Australia. (Service to clients in the Middle East and Africa are provided via our London office.) In addition to our global forecasting services, PEI offers strategic portfolio and asset allocation monitoring for major institutions and back our accuracy with a 100% money back guarantee. Our computer can monitor even individual shares around the world and alert fund managers to any change in trend providing the resources equivalent to hundreds of research staff.
Princeton Economics InternationalT research divisions provide in-depth fundamental investigations into the field of economics, corporate and tax law as well as politics (See Political Forecasting) to further the understanding of our new global environment and how the private and public sectors interact. We have defined through research that it is economics that drives politics - not the other way around. It was economics that forced political change in Russia. It was interest rates hitting 22% in 1980 that ushered in a sweeping shift toward conservatism in the United States and in Britain, which has reshaped even the Democrats in the US and New Labour in the UK. And it will be economics once again that will user in sweeping political changes in Japan and China. By monitoring global economic trends, our computer models have successfully forecast (See Associated Press) the shifting tide of politics and the rise and fall of nations.
Within the PEI group, we also provide international financial execution services in shares, bonds and futures (See soft-dollar services) in all major financial centers as well as corporate underwriting (See Cresvale International Ltd.). For business seeking to externalize its FX risk management, Princeton Global Management Ltd. will directly take over the responsibility of hedging production, sales and international trade on a fee, performance or guarantee basis backed by Letters of Credit if necessary. PEI does NOT accept funds for management from private individuals.
Our Electronic Services Division provides daily forecasting in English as well as Japanese via Fax Services, Bloomberg and Reuters and of course the Internet where we continue in our goal to build the most comprehensive web site in the financial industry. It is through this new and dynamic delivery potential that we hope to bring full access to the world for our clients in every corner of the globe.
PEI is indeed forecasting the world. We will continue to bring the most independent and objective information to our clients worldwide. Today, the Board of Directors of PEI comes from every continent bringing together a unique international perspective untainted by any particular nationalistic bias thus insuring the most objective results possible. PEI will maintain that spirit of independence by continuing to fund its research purely by its worth to clients worldwide. PEI does not accept grants or fees from any government anywhere in the world to insure that the principal of free speech is never compromised. The work we do on behalf of nations is always provided for free as a public service. >> |