To: SOROS who wrote (442 ) 9/23/1998 9:13:00 AM From: SOROS Respond to of 1151
The Telegraph - London - 09/23/98 By Marcus Warren in Moscow Rise of Moscow's Iron Lady RUSSIA'S financial crisis spells doom for a whole new civilisation of rich and burgeoning middle-class entrepreneurs. It was fun while it lasted; but the "new Russians" and their culture are slowly dying, destroyed by a catastrophe few foresaw and many will not survive. Their death agony is best witnessed on the streets and shopping malls of Moscow, their capital. Its consequences will be felt the world over. For this was a nomadic tribe, one that swept through Europe and Asia spending huge sums of money in wads of dollars or via shiny new credit cards. That is all history. Their companies face bankruptcy, their bank accounts are frozen and the roubles they earn have collapsed in value against foreign currencies. Many have lost their jobs; the lucky ones have had only their salaries cut. "The proportion of middle classes in the population as a whole has fallen from 25 to two per cent," said Alexander Chipurenko, an academic specialising in small businesses. "And there is no hope of the situation improving for at least a year or so." Their playgrounds, Moscow's bars and clubs, are half empty. Shopping centres that catered for their luxury tastes are almost deserted. Staff at the capital's new Haagen-Dazs ice-cream parlour outnumber customers. The Max Mara, Nina Ricci, Kenzo and Givenchy boutiques in Petrovsky Passage, a place of pilgrimage for the affluent shopping classes, are still open for business. But the sales assistants spend most of their time varnishing their nails. Earlier this month, its graceful aisles played host to what with hindsight will go down as the last gathering of the tribe, the launch party of Vogue's Russian edition. A dancer in a toga tottered on top of a giant pillar in a classic display of new Russian vulgarity. But the gossip over the canap‚s was about how much salt, matches, flour or pasta the beautiful people would need for the winter ahead. The Moscow concert by the Rolling Stones a month ago was the last time the new middle classes were out in force. Within days, Russia had devalued the rouble, crippling the country's importers, and defaulted on its short-term debts, almost destroying its banking system. It will take years for the middle classes, defined by one expert as those earning more than œ600 a month in Moscow and œ300 outside the capital, to recover from the shock. Andrei Krylov, who lost œ18 million in Russia's crash, now ponders a future as a bankrupt, a fugitive from Mafia hitmen, or an emigre - or all three at once. It took him a couple of years to build up an empire importing medicines worth millions of pounds. It took a a few days to lose the lot. "I was a rich man, even by international standards," he said. "Now I'm back where I began and feel like a 17-year-old boy starting out in life." At the age of 33, he is certainly young enough to start his business again from scratch. Whether he will ever have the opportunity is another matter. Every day he sinks deeper into debt. He needs dollars to pay his foreign suppliers but the roubles he earns selling imported medicines are rapidly losing their value. And in Russia debts can be tantamount to a death sentence, collected as they usually are with the aid of threats, brutal force, beatings or worse "Russian banks would not hesitate for a moment to use violence to call in debts," he said. "Foreign creditors are quite capable of selling their debts to Russian companies for as little as 30 per cent of their value. And they would then use force to call the money in. "I've always tried to avoid crime and criminals. My business is clean: I've always paid my taxes and customs duties. But this is what I'm most afraid of now: having to go underground to hide from creditors." We dined on Italian food and fine wine in Angelico's, but, even by the standards of recent weeks, the day had been particularly trying. He had been forced to sack more of his staff. He had paid their wages in full and sent them on their way. But what happened next had been profoundly shocking. His former employees had gone to a nearby bar and got drunk. They then returned to the warehouse and picked a fight with his armed security guards. "These were not some scum from the streets," he said. "They are good people who worked hard and who I trusted. What is happening to this country?"