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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: j g cordes who wrote (17797)9/24/1998 12:53:00 AM
From: Lachesis Atropos  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 70831
 
Here Here ain't no ordinary October Sentiment of some long-term investors has been shaken. They feel that this is still usual up down market behavior. In the coffee room, I poll colleagues with questions like "How much of a drop on your returns would you endure." Surprisingly, they are adamant that they will ride it out. Money market funds are unthinkable to them.

Time September 14 Bears of Summer page 29:
Last week investors pulled an net $6.2 billion out of the stock funds Monday and Tuesday, but on Wednesday a net $6.5 billion flowed right back..."

This is curious, more money in than out? My intuition is that we will see a sudden drop and recoil pattern that will persist with a down trend bias over the next few periods--pump and dump. Though, my intuition is seldom right.

My sense is that we are at the whims of the institutions--we will seeing their heavy hands groping for markets shares. Mutual funds may provide some insight.

I don't have much time to think right now, with work and all, which for me is a good thing. I have out thunk myself too many times.

Lachesis



To: j g cordes who wrote (17797)9/24/1998 4:49:00 PM
From: kurt aichler  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70831
 
Jim, with CCI and TRV merging 10/8, CCI shares will be worth 2.5 times the new CityGroup shares and TRV is 1/1. i am wondering if there is a play with CCI options relative to TRV option pricing. i guess 10 cci 110 calls would become 25 citygroup 40 calls... and 10 trv 40 calls would be 10 citygroup 40 calls. or will they trade separately until expiration ? not sure where i am going with this, but have done well on dell options after they split, and thought something like this has possiblilities.

kurt