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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Monty Lenard who wrote (28665)9/23/1998 8:27:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Respond to of 94695
 
HJi Monty; My runners, and funds are in this, & RE > I have to give J. Hopkins credit for calling it long before I did. thanx for the kudos, I think BILL also said we were going up the same time I did, we joked about it as being like a hex for both of us to agree on
a bullish turn.
---------------------------------
Here are the 10 hot big cap runners I picked Sept 4th, up 13.57%
Symbol Last Trade Change Volume Value Value Change Gain Mkt Cap Trade Date Notes
^SPX 4:59PM 1066.09 +36.46 +3.54% N/A $10.66 $0.36 +3.54% $0.92 +9.47% N/A 4-Sep-98 -
^NDX 4:44PM 1394.65 +58.46 +4.38% N/A $13.95 $0.58 +4.38% $1.89 +15.70% N/A 4-Sep-98 -
MSFT 4:01PM 113 5/8 +4 7/16 +4.06% 16,315,900 $2,272.50 $88.75 +4.06% $340.00 +17.59% 280.0B 4-Sep-98 -
PFE 4:25PM 106 1/2 +5 1/16 +4.99% 4,790,600 $1,597.50 $75.94 +4.99% $166.88 +11.66% 149.1B 4-Sep-98 -
CSCO 4:01PM 66 1/4 +3 3/8 +5.37% 16,674,600 $993.75 $50.62 +5.37% $105.00 +11.81% 103.0B 4-Sep-98 -
LU 5:01PM 77 3/4 +3 5/8 +4.89% 8,120,700 $777.50 $36.25 +4.89% $25.00 +3.32% 102.2B 4-Sep-98 -
DELL 4:01PM 64 3/8 +4 5/16 +7.18% 33,943,500 $1,287.50 $86.25 +7.18% $192.50 +17.58% 81.982B 4-Sep-98 -
SGP 5:01PM 105 1/16 +3 7/16 +3.38% 2,391,600 $1,050.62 $34.38 +3.38% $138.12 +15.14% 77.116B 4-Sep-98 -
WMT 4:22PM 64 1/2 +2 1/8 +3.41% 4,467,000 $1,290.00 $42.50 +3.41% $120.00 +10.26% 145.3B 4-Sep-98 -
F 4:04PM 48 9/16 +2 3/4 +6.00% 3,554,000 $485.62 $27.50 +6.00% $66.88 +15.97% 55.399B 4-Sep-98 -
TWX 4:25PM 95 +2 3/4 +2.98% 2,126,400 $475.00 $13.75 +2.98% $58.44 +14.03% 51.509B 4-Sep-98 -
HD 4:18PM 44 9/16 +2 1/2 +5.94% 6,728,400 $445.62 $25.00 +5.94% $62.50 +16.31% 65.530B 4-Sep-98 -

12 symbols
Totals: today$10,700.23$481.89+4.72%
from sept4 $1,278.13+13.57%
-------------------
Here are the Large cap growth funds I track, ( I keep em as a gang
and also use this as a form of index. Up 10.84 % same time frame
Most of these are good funds, but Note my ten picks have beaten ever one of these funds.
Symbol Last Trade Change Volume Value Value Change Gain Mkt Cap Trade Date Notes
^SPX 4:59PM 1066.09 +36.46 +3.54% N/A $10.66 $0.36 +3.54% $1.09 +11.34% N/A 31-Aug-98 dec2-6.5
TORYX Sep 23 31.25 +0.94 +3.10% N/A $31.25 $0.94 +3.10% $1.72 +5.82% N/A 31-Aug-98 -7.7
BABSX Sep 23 19.66 +0.60 +3.15% N/A $19.66 $0.60 +3.15% $2.14 +12.21% N/A 31-Aug-98 x-10.9
BEOOX Sep 23 14.05 +0.46 +3.38% N/A $14.05 $0.46 +3.38% $1.50 +11.95% N/A 31-Aug-98 -9
DGAGX Sep 23 36.42 +1.23 +3.50% N/A $36.42 $1.23 +3.50% $2.93 +8.75% N/A 31-Aug-98 *-3.7
DREQX Sep 23 9.62 +0.23 +2.45% N/A $9.62 $0.23 +2.45% $1.11 +13.04% N/A 31-Aug-98 x-14.7
DREVX Sep 23 10.03 +0.32 +3.30% N/A $10.03 $0.32 +3.30% $1.01 +11.20% N/A 31-Aug-98 x-13.1
DRTHX Sep 23 11.59 +0.34 +3.02% N/A $11.59 $0.34 +3.02% $1.32 +12.85% N/A 31-Aug-98 -7.64
FLRFX Sep 23 5.72 +0.19 +3.44% N/A $5.72 $0.19 +3.44% $0.57 +11.07% N/A 31-Aug-98 **-2.3
FRMUX Sep 23 7.53 +0.21 +2.87% N/A $7.53 $0.21 +2.87% $0.66 +9.61% N/A 31-Aug-98 -6.78
GABGX Sep 23 30.60 +1.10 +3.73% N/A $30.60 $1.10 +3.73% $3.76 +14.01% N/A 31-Aug-98 x-12.20
LEXRX Sep 23 20.69 +0.53 +2.63% N/A $20.69 $0.53 +2.63% $1.55 +8.10% N/A 31-Aug-98 -9.63
SAFQX Sep 23 21.22 +0.65 +3.16% N/A $21.22 $0.65 +3.16% $2.11 +11.04% N/A 31-Aug-98 -7.68
SRFSX Sep 23 36.71 +1.25 +3.53% N/A $36.71 $1.25 +3.53% $3.37 +10.11% N/A 31-Aug-98 -7.16
SRPEX Sep 23 23.30 +0.60 +2.64% N/A $23.30 $0.60 +2.64% $1.57 +7.23% N/A 31-Aug-98 -7.73
SRYIX Sep 23 23.74 +0.77 +3.35% N/A $23.74 $0.77 +3.35% $2.35 +10.99% N/A 31-Aug-98 x12.7
TWCGX Sep 23 28.55 +1.05 +3.82% N/A $28.55 $1.05 +3.82% $3.25 +12.85% N/A 31-Aug-98 **-1.86
TWCIX Sep 23 49.32 +1.60 +3.35% N/A $49.32 $1.60 +3.35% $5.84 +13.43% N/A 31-Aug-98 -3.72
TWCUX Sep 23 31.28 +1.06 +3.51% N/A $31.28 $1.06 +3.51% $3.43 +12.32% N/A 31-Aug-98 -4.26

19 symbols
Totals: $421.94$13.49+3.30%
since sept4 $41.28+10.84%
------------------------------------
NOw here are the Small cap growth funds, NOTE there are some of them
running like all get out, and the gang is out doing the large caps.
Symbol Last Trade Change Volume Value Value Change Gain Mkt Cap Trade Date Notes
^RUT 4:59PM 376.00 +7.76 +2.11% N/A $0.38 $0.01 +2.11% $0.04 +11.26% N/A 31-Aug-98 was feb12
^SML 4:49PM 157.06 +2.68 +1.74% N/A $0.16 $0.00 +1.74% $0.01 +10.15% N/A 31-Aug-98 -
BARAX Sep 23 41.93 +1.05 +2.57% N/A $41.93 $1.05 +2.57% $3.85 +10.11% N/A 31-Aug-98 -23.5
BESCX Sep 23 3.86 +0.13 +3.49% N/A $3.86 $0.13 +3.49% $0.43 +12.54% N/A 31-Aug-98 -26.4
BGINX Sep 23 21.26 +0.62 +3.00% N/A $21.26 $0.62 +3.00% $2.49 +13.27% N/A 31-Aug-98 -26.4
CREGX Sep 23 10.86 +0.11 +1.02% N/A $10.86 $0.11 +1.02% $1.76 +19.34% N/A 31-Aug-98 x-35.2
CUEGX Sep 23 33.72 +1.07 +3.28% N/A $33.72 $1.07 +3.28% $2.65 +8.53% N/A 31-Aug-98 *-20.19
DGVAX Sep 23 9.41 +0.28 +3.07% N/A $9.41 $0.28 +3.07% $0.85 +9.93% N/A 31-Aug-98 xx-50.09
FDISX Sep 23 20.50 +0.51 +2.55% N/A $20.50 $0.51 +2.55% $2.36 +13.01% N/A 31-Aug-98 -24.9
FIEGX Sep 23 10.61 +0.32 +3.11% N/A $10.61 $0.32 +3.11% $1.46 +15.96% N/A 31-Aug-98 -21.59
FUSMX Sep 23 15.11 +0.14 +0.94% N/A $15.11 $0.14 +0.94% $0.98 +6.94% N/A 31-Aug-98 -30.8
KAUFX Sep 23 5.71 +0.14 +2.51% N/A $5.71 $0.14 +2.51% $0.57 +11.09% N/A 31-Aug-98 -23.2?dec
MGSEX Sep 23 53.19 +1.23 +2.37% N/A $53.19 $1.23 +2.37% $3.78 +7.65% N/A 31-Aug-98 -21.08
MONTX Sep 23 13.46 +0.22 +1.66% N/A $13.46 $0.22 +1.66% $1.06 +8.55% N/A 31-Aug-98 x-30.88
PBEGX Sep 23 20.70 +0.56 +2.78% N/A $20.70 $0.56 +2.78% $1.07 +5.45% N/A 31-Aug-98 **-19.4
RISCX Sep 23 12.64 +0.19 +1.53% N/A $12.64 $0.19 +1.53% $0.94 +8.03% N/A 31-Aug-98 x-29.9
RSEGX Sep 23 18.00 +0.66 +3.81% N/A $18.00 $0.66 +3.81% $1.77 +10.91% N/A 31-Aug-98 ***-18.5
SCAPX Sep 23 10.15 +0.33 +3.36% N/A $10.15 $0.33 +3.36% $1.16 +12.90% N/A 31-Aug-98 -26.49
SSMGX Sep 23 17.44 +0.40 +2.35% N/A $17.44 $0.40 +2.35% $2.54 +17.05% N/A 31-Aug-98 -23.55
VWEGX Sep 23 8.57 +0.47 +5.80% N/A $8.57 $0.47 +5.80% $1.50 +21.22% N/A 31-Aug-98 x-31
VWMCX Sep 23 8.91 +0.39 +4.58% N/A $8.91 $0.39 +4.58% $1.38 +18.33% N/A 31-Aug-98 -25.6
WAMCX Sep 23 15.68 +0.58 +3.84% N/A $15.68 $0.58 +3.84% $2.41 +18.16% N/A 31-Aug-98 -24.43
WPVCX Sep 23 16.32 +0.51 +3.23% N/A $16.32 $0.51 +3.23% $1.67 +11.40% N/A 31-Aug-98 *-20.73

23 symbols
Totals: 368.56$9.92+2.77%
since sept4th $36.73+11.07%

I predicted a small cap run before
a melt down, some of these are up 17, 18, and even 21% since the
4th..the herd has not caught on yet all they do is look at
the stupid indexes

I'v explain the need to track a gang of
small cap funds, to know ahead when the run starts..as the indexes
don't really tell you about small caps till it's damm near to late.

Small cap indexes get clipped at the top, VIA the big "winners"
get took out of the index, while the S&P500 keeps getting winners,
and culling losers..so if you compare the indexes Sml to Lrg,
it's not just the size, it's the way these indexes WORK, this
crap was made up by McGraw Hill, they don't know crap about how
to pick stocks, how do they get away with dictating so much
how an index should work. This is a serious problem in our markets
we got some dumm a*ss bean counters making up indexes every one is
trying to beat..it's like a stupid madness, but it's there.
It tears the heart out of trying to pick value in stocks.
The way this system works the stock can die and go
to heaven before it gets recognized. IF they don't market the
stock and do one pitch after the other it never gets enough
market cap to be a contender.
-----------------------
I say this to let people know no matter how good your small cap
company is or value that's in it, if they don't do a market campaign
for the stock, it can sit there till you go blue in the face.

NOW the danger really comes when you see these small cap funds
run up say 40% and the big ones make say 20%,,,by then
the crapola on CNBC will be hot and heavy and beating
the drums every day on the small caps, a mad rush to the
small caps and you notice the big ones back off a bit,,
then run like hell, as when these fall after a MAD run up is when
the big melt down comes

Look , 4 of then are already up over 17% seems I said that would
happen before people caught on. The die hard bears will still
be beating their drums of doom when some of these things go up 40%,
& it may only take some of them another 4 to 6 weeks to do it.
About the time the die hard bears get bullish, it will be time
to get back out.

Jim