SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Chuzzlewit who wrote (67609)9/26/1998 4:38:00 PM
From: Chuzzlewit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
Thread, I blew it, I blew it I blew it.

I forgot to take into account the split. The offending paragraphs should read:

I expect Dell to exceed that estimate ($2.81) in three years.

If memory serves me correctly, Dell earned $.25 this last quarter. So using this number as a point of reference, if earnings grow at 44% per annum, we can expect that earnings over the next four quarters will total about $1.27, and will total $1.82 in the following four quarters, and $2.63 in the next and $3.79 in the the next and finally $5.46 after five years. Note: these are not FY or calendar years. They simply represent years from now commencing with the period ending October 31.

So now, assuming his trailing P/E of 30 (which under his assumptions is a forward p/e of 26), that represents a stock selling for $164.28 With the stock currently at about 66 that implies a 20% per annum rate of return. These numbers assume no change in the number of shares o/s, and no change in margins.