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Strategies & Market Trends : Position Trading Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Junkyardawg who wrote (2261)9/25/1998 5:46:00 PM
From: NASDBULL  Respond to of 7247
 
QFAB was oversold today. STock should rebound nicely over the next couple of weeks:

Here is an analysis I did today.

Short, but sweet.

This is just an overview of QFAB's valuation and
possible short term price targets for QFAB over the
next couple of weeks!

I took the average p/e, price to book and price to sales
ratios of QFAB other eight industry companies(IFSIA,
PTX, SHX, MHK, BIB, CRW, SMI and CNSO)

I threw out the high and low in each category.

Industry Averages:

P/E = 14.24

P/B = 1.77

P/S = .49

Currently QFAB ratios are as follows(In calculating
the P/E, I used the last three quarters and the next
quarter projection of .03/share, which gives us
.58/share in earnings).

P/E = 8.62 industry = 14.24
price target for full valuation for QFAB = $8.25/share

P/B = .72 industry = 1.77
price target for full valuation for QFAB = $12.25/share

P/S = .22 industry = .49
price target for full valuation for QFAB =
$11.125/share

*full valuation as compared to current industry
averages

You can see the price target over the next few weeks
that I have for QFAB is between $8.25 and $12.25 a
share.

I would think since 1999 is going to be flat. You can
assume earnings will be around .75 cents a share for
QFAB. That would give us a lower forward looking
p/e of around 6.50.

The current levels of this stock's price are VERY low
at this point. Although $8.25 is 65% above current
levels, I think that is very realistic over the next two
weeks. It can be reached if we see a stock buyback
program from management, but don't cross your
fingers.

Enjoy,

NASDBULL