SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Gold/Mining/Energy : KERM'S KORNER -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (12509)9/26/1998 8:49:00 AM
From: Kerm Yerman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15196
 
IN THE NEWS / U.S. Refinery Sector Slows Amid Slump In Margins

NEW YORK, Sept 24 (Reuters) - The U.S. oil refining sector has slowed from a blistering pace up to the end of August to its slowest since last May as companies finally succumbed to an end-of-summer slump in margins.

Refineries had been running virtually flat out from the end of May until the end of August, before falling sharply.

"Margins have gone down from July through August. Refinery runs have gone down in response...there have been announcements and the weekly data show that runs are down over half a million barrels per day (bpd)," said Aaron Brady, an analyst at Boston-based Energy Security Analysis Inc.

On "Refinery Row""along the Gulf Coast, refiners last month saw a negative return for processing benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude, the first negative return this year, according to Reuters calculations based on standard product yields.

Just as the third quarter rolls to its end, refinery margins in the U.S. have eroded to the lowest this year to around $3.04 per barrel, according to analyst Paul Ting at Salomon Smith Barney.

Margins have so far dipped $0.05 below those in the first quarter, when the warm winter put a stranglehold on heating oil demand, and sent oil prices reeling downward.

Although U.S. refiners target their production toward gasoline and generally see weaker margins after the summer gasoline season ends, margins in the third quarter are over $2.00 lower year-on-year, according to Salomon Smith Barney.

It is then not surprising that the American Petroleum Institute (API) late Tuesday reported that crude throughputs last week have shrunk by nearly 640,000 barrels per day (bpd), or down over 4 percent, to just over 15 million bpd from their peak production this year, just two weeks earlier.

The last time throughputs were below 15 million bpd or below 97 percent of operational capacity was in May.

Seasonal autumn refinery maintenance shutdowns were behind the fall in throughputs, market sources said.

But most of the turnarounds were spurred by the weakest refinery margins seen this year.

Weak margins prompted Sun Co. Inc. to bring forward a planned 21-day maintenance turnaround on a 177,000-bpd crude oil distillation unit at its Philadelphia refinery, to Oct. 3 this year from February 1999.

"It makes sense for us to do this work now, when inventories are high and margins are low," said David Knoll, senior vice president for Sun Northeast Refining.

In addition to Sun's Philadelphia schedule, confirmed turnarounds in the U.S. and Canada from August to October will cut at least 532,000 bpd or over 17 million barrels of crude production.

Unconfirmed maintenance will nearly double the total drop in refinery output to 1.04 million bpd:

-- Sun's 70,000-bpd Toledo, Ohio, crude unit was shut Sept. 18 for four to five weeks.

-- Tosco Corp. , the largest U.S. independent oil refiner, announced in late August it cut crude runs by 15 percent, or 70,000 bpd until the market improves, in addition to the shutdown of a 110,000-bpd crude unit at its Bayway, New Jersey, plant, which went into a 35-day maintenance period on Sept. 14.

-- British Petroleum Co. Plc has scheduled a 20- to 30-day turnaround at a 30,000-bpd crude unit at its 160,000-bpd Toledo, Ohio, refinery at the end of September, after earlier run cuts of 5 percent to 10 percent, or by 8,000 bpd to 16,000 bpd, in July and August.

-- Exxon Corp. started a six-week turnaround at its 145,000-bpd crude unit at Baytown, Texas, from Aug. 30.

Market sources said Exxon also has another turnaround of around 200,000 bpd at the huge 432,000-bpd plant in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, on which the company has declined comment.

-- Mobil Corp. also won't comment regarding the shutdown at its 204,000-bpd Joliet, Illinois, crude plant in September. -- Canada's North Atlantic Refining Ltd, a major exporter of refined products to the U.S., is also planning a routine maintenance at its 105,000 barrel-per-day refinery at Come-By-Chance in Newfoundland for "a few weeks""this fall, a company spokeswoman said. She added, however, that no specific details have been set.



To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (12509)9/29/1998 1:10:00 PM
From: Kerm Yerman  Respond to of 15196
 
IN THE NEWS / U.S. Now Importing Record 58 Percent of Oil, As
Dependence On Foreign Sources Increases

WASHINGTON, Sept. 29 /PRNewswire/ -- The United States has imported a record 58 percent of its oil supply, latest statistics show.

The new record level of oil imports continues a trend of increasing dependence on international sources of oil, particularly the troubled Middle East, while U.S. production declines.

The record oil imports came in August when, according to the American Petroleum Institute, imports of crude oil and petroleum products totaled more than 11 million barrels a day, an increase of almost six percent over a year ago.

Crude oil imports alone also set a record, the API said. Crude imports were 9.17 million barrels a day, more than six percent over the year-ago amount. The previous record high of crude oil imports was 8.9 million barrels a day, set in May.

The continuing rise in oil imports comes at a time when warnings are being issued about increasingly heavy dependence on foreign oil, and forecasts of potential world energy shortfalls in the next century.

In July, for example, Parade magazine carried an article by Tad Szulc, well-known international correspondent and author, predicting a ''severe'' world energy shortage if oil prospects in Central Asia falter.

Leading oil companies are basing much of their production planning on tapping reserves in the Caspian Sea region.

Authoritative observers now say, however, that the predicted 200 billion barrels in unconfirmed oil reserves in the region may be only in the 15 billion to 30 billion barrel range.



To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (12509)9/29/1998 1:51:00 PM
From: Kerm Yerman  Respond to of 15196
 
IN THE NEWS / Oil Sector Waits To Assess Hurricane Damage

NEW YORK, Sept 28 (Reuters) - Oil traders were busy Monday weighing the impact of Hurricane Georges, which forced extensive oil production and refining shutdowns as it barreled along the Gulf Coast since the
weekend.

The U.S. government's Minerals Management Service estimated that nearly three-quarters of the Gulf of Mexico oil and gas production, or well over 10 percent of national production, was shut in due to the storm, while oil companies said at least half a dozen of their refineries along ''refinery row'' were closed, accounting for around 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd), or about 10 percent of the country's total refining capacity.

The effect on crude oil prices, and gasoline and other refinery product prices, is dependent on a number of still variable factors, principally whether there is any serious damage to the plants.

''The biggest fear is flooding, which is just not something quickly mopped up,'' said an oil company trader with a plant along the coast. ''The market will probably find panic buying later today or tomorrow. You can't have that much capacity shut down without the markets moving up.''

The refineries shut by late Monday were in Mississippi and in Louisiana. Many had power cut and had evacuated most of their employees for safety, but only Chevron Corp.'s (NYSE:CHV) Pascagoula, Mississippi, plant, with a capacity of 295,000 bpd, was reported to be flooded, though how severely the company could not say. The Chevron refinery was shut for weeks by flooding after a hurricane some years ago.

''The area is like a swamp to begin with, and the mud -- known as Mississippi gumbo -- can take a long time to drain and it can take some time before the refineries start up if they are flooded,'' said Scott Smith, an oil analyst at UBS Securities in New York.

The potential for serious disruption to the refinery sector is further exacerbated by the fact that it was due to see heavy maintenance shutdown in September and October anyway, estimated to be more than one million bpd, on top of recent economic slowdowns as margins slumped. Already since the start of the month, refinery runs have dropped by about 5 percent to 15 million bpd.

A sharp drop in refinery running rates translates directly into reduced demand for crude oil, which over the past month, has been recovering a little from a price drop of 50 percent since the start of last year to $12.70 in mid-August.

The benchmark U.S. crude price has recovered about $3 a barrel to stand at around $15.70, largely due to the effects of previous, less severe, storms that have disrupted oil imports while not hurting refinery operations. That has helped propel a sharp drop in the nation's crude inventories, down 27 million barrels in a month to 317 million barrels.

If Hurricane Georges takes out a large number of refineries for any length of time, it is likely to reduce demand by more than it does supply, traders said.

''My guess is it's going to be bearish, because I think there are more refineries down than crude production shut in,'' said a Houston oil trader for an integrated oil company.

If, when the storms clear, there is very little damage to the refineries and production comes back up quickly, then the market will swiftly focus again on the world's crude oil and refined products glut, analysts said.

''There is no critical shortage in inventories...I can't see a few days' disruption impacting that much,'' said Aaron Brady at the Boston based Energy Security Analysis Inc. (ESAI).



To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (12509)9/29/1998 1:54:00 PM
From: Kerm Yerman  Respond to of 15196
 
IN THE NEWS / MMS Says Storm Shuts In 70pct Gulf Oil, Gas Output

The U.S. Minerals Management Service (MMS) said on Monday that it estimated about 70 percent of oil and gas production in the Gulf of Mexico had been shut in due to Hurricane Georges, which was crawling along the Gulf coast with hundred mile per hour winds, dumping heavy rains.

''There are a total of 3,800 platforms in the Gulf of Mexico...with average production of 1.1 million barrels per day of oil and 13 billion cubic feet a day of natural gas. We estimate that about 70 percent of that production is shut in right now,'' said A.B. Wade, a spokesman for the MMS, a section of the Department of the Interior.

Meanwhile, the Coast Guard in Baton Rouge, Louisiana said that a freighter ship remained adrift in the path of the storm, a factor which had led the MMS to call for rigs and pipelines to shut down in the area to avoid any environmental disaster.

The 490-foot unloaded freighter, the Golden Star with a 17-man crew, broke from its tow on Sunday night and could not get anchored.

''We are at this time uncertain of their position. We dispatched a vessel to get in behind the storm to attempt to locate and render any assistance...but as of now it has zero control and is essentially a dead ship,'' said petty officer James Dillard of the Coast Guard.

He said the Golden Star is moving in a southeasterly direciton, away from highest concentration of oil rigs and pipelines. However, as a precaution the MMS asked companies to shut in all rigs and pipelines in the path of the storm.

The MMS did not have any indication how long production might keep oil production down and shipping restricted. However, U.S. oil inventories have over the past month dropped by around 27 million barrels to 317 million barrels, in large measure because of disruptions due to previous, less severe storms.