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Politics : Bill Clinton Scandal - SANITY CHECK -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: dougjn who wrote (5442)	9/26/1998 8:48:00 AM
From: mrknowitall	Respond to of 67261

dougjn - true. Wish I had more time. re: polls - the good organizations are usually going to come up with close results; they know each other as competitors, and if the results are whacky, they'll take the heat in lost confidence. It's sort of like a hidden oversight - nobody wants to be the one out of bounds, so they are pretty careful in the same way, which leaves lots of room for mischief, IMO. As to seeking out a poll - those data are lumped into the formula and weighted accordingly. It's called contamination, and it is only used to point out the level of interest in the subject, as in "the most motivated on the issue believe x." Internet polling has a specific risk - the demographic data isn't stable. It used to be only the upper middle class technocrat had access, now, if you wanted consumer opinion on modems, go for it, but politically, danger, danger - intellectual elite and economically high strata don't make a good sample. But, that is changing. And lordy, is it fast! But to me, it's still sausage, even though the news organizations make it out to be filet. Mr. K.