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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mister topes who wrote (1227)9/27/1998 11:30:00 PM
From: psyched  Respond to of 15132
 
In addition to hedge fund crises---
FWIW:

tomorrow should be interesting. what effect,if any do you think this will have?

Bankruptcy filing largest ever in Japan
10.38 p.m. ET (239 GMT) September 27, 1998

By Todd Zaun, Associated Press

TOKYO (AP) — A Japanese company with debts of more than $16 billion said
Monday that it has filed for bankruptcy, the largest such action in Japan's history.

Hiroaki Okamoto, president of Japan Leasing Corp., said the company filed for
protection from creditors with the Tokyo District Court late Sunday night.

The bankruptcy was the latest in a series of high-profile failures marking Japan's
worst recession in decades.

A lawyer for the company said it had debts of $16 billion.

"I deeply apologize to our creditors and for the effects this will have on the
financial system,'' Okamoto said.

Hoping to keep the failure from setting off a market meltdown, Prime Minister
Keizo Obuchi urged traders to be calm.

Though the Tokyo market in general was up, LTCB's share price opened sharply
lower Monday, briefly hitting an all-time low of 9.5 cents a share before
rebounding slightly to 10 cents. LTCB closed at 18 cents a share on Friday.

Teikoku Data Bank Ltd., a Tokyo-based credit research firm, said Japan
Leasing's bankruptcy would be the biggest ever in Japan.

It exceeded the previous highest bankruptcy by Crown Leasing which went under
in April, 1997, with debts of $8.7 billion.

The figures do not take into account failures which occurred without formal
bankruptcy filings, such as the collapse of Yamaichi Securities Co. in November.
The company had debts of $22.4 billion.

Finance Minister Kiichi Miyazawa stressed that the quick establishment of a
comprehensive plan to stabilize the financial sector "will be greatly beneficial, both
domestically and abroad.''

At the center of the political debate over the mountain of bad debt saddling
Japan's banks is how to deal with the Long-Term Credit Bank of Japan, a huge
affiliate of Japan Leasing that is also on the verge of collapse.

Analysts said delays caused by the political wrangling over what to do about the
LTCB were partly to blame. With the LTCB in limbo, they said, reconstruction of
the debt-ridden Japan Leasing was virtually impossible.

Analysts said the fall of Japan Leasing was also likely to affect reconstruction
plans for two other LTCB affiliates — Japan Landic Corp. and Nippon
Enterprise Development Corp.

Japan Leasing was established in 1963 as Japan's first leasing firm.

comments@foxnews.com

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To: mister topes who wrote (1227)9/28/1998 11:46:00 AM
From: Kirk ©  Respond to of 15132
 
I believe you are on your own with your prediction of Dow 12000.
Brinker is on record predicting Dow 9500 over the next six to
twelve months but has not even predicted Dow 10000 yet let alone
Dow 12000.


I am aware of that Don, thanks for reiterating it. I was putting published numbers to the words spoken on the show Saturday and sharing the results. (I watched the 49ers CREAM Atlanta Sunday and forgot to tape the delayed Moneytalk so I don't know if more was said)

I understand the reason for not increasing the prediction as much can change in the World. Also, predicting 9500 is pretty far out there in the bull pasture so to speak so predictions above that would appear "hale-bop-ish"

My guess is DaBrink is expecting a "p/e multiple overshoot" as money pours in as investors come back with sentiment going to 70% again. I might even try timing this and start to reduce my position at sentiment 68% and p/e above 23. Anyway, that is what I expect to see happen.

regards
Kirk out