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Non-Tech : RECY Looking Good... A -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Brewmeister who wrote (5908)9/29/1998 9:51:00 AM
From: ed doell  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 7006
 
>>

If lower interest rates can accelerate the economy, it can create excess demand
driving prices up. So, it is possible to turn things around. I'm not sure Japan is a
great example of the failure of low interest rates since its economy and market
structure is so screwed up. <<

**

Japan these days is an excellent example of a deflation process in action, particularly its psychological reactions to it.

If you think the US economy is in a deflationary scenario, the conventional application of lower interest rates is just a symptom, not a remedy, of deflation in action.

Maybe a closer look at Japan's economy
will make this clearer for you,

Ed



To: Brewmeister who wrote (5908)10/1/1998 2:06:00 PM
From: James Strauss  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 7006
 
Can Interest Rate Cuts Save The Day?
**************************************
Dan:

We may be at that point where interest rate cuts will have little more than symbolic meaning... We are in the midst of a worldwide BEAR market that is going to take time to work itself out... As such, the broad brush of deflation will cut across the world economies...

RECY is smack in the middle of the cyclical sector that continues to be hit hard... Even a 1/2 point rate cut could not turn around the deflationary damage overnight... As such, I think it's possible for RECY to retest its former 1.25 and 1.00 price points before this mess is all over...

Each of us has to decide whether we sell now or hold or average down... I'm personally holding and averaging down... It may take 3 months, it may take 6 months, it may take a year before RECY starts moving up again to its former 5.00, 6.00, 7.00 and 8.00 price points and beyond... Now there's blood in the streets... Do we run, hold our ground, or move against the crowd... I'm going to move against the crowd... Let's see if this Buy Low really works... : >

Jim