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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Amsterdam who wrote (744)9/30/1998 10:18:00 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3536
 
Dumkopf Hans (Tietmeyer) will follow suite (again)... Now that Gerhard's been put in the Chancellor seat, the Bundesbank has a wild card to play!

From Tokyo to New York to London to... Frankfurt there was a consensus on easing the monetary policies. The problem was that Tietmeyer couldn't openly blurt it out while Germany was in election campaigns: that would have destroyed Kohl/CDU's chances!

But remember that 2 weeks ago, even Wim Duisenberg, Germany's candidate for the ECB Chairmanship acknowledged that a restrictive monetary policy was no longer necessary for Europe... That was a hint!

I was wrong on my bet on Schroeder's first foreign tour... I thought he would go to Moscow first but it seems more likely he'll drop by to le Palais de l'Elysee first.

A weaker dollar is not good for corporate Europe and an economic slowdown is not good for political Europe; hence, everything is conspiring for an across-the-board rate cut. Europe's currently ran by socialists in about every member country --except Spain and Finland(?). Blair (UK), Jospin (FR), Schroeder (GER),... they all support a pro-growth policy: increasing domestic demand, interventionist measures, and a larger credit supply. We're in for a cheap Euro!

Gustave.