To: Gregg Powers who wrote (15800 ) 9/30/1998 1:54:00 PM From: tero kuittinen 1 Recommendation Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
I take moral superiority anywhere I can find it! Nokia and Ericsson have not been anxious to unroll W-CDMA simply because they want to squeeze GSM for all it's worth before moving on. They spent megabucks on GSM development, they are in no hurry to move on. Part of this was an attempt to talk down IS-95 and simultaneously promise an upgrade for GSM that delivers more bang for the buck. Characteristically, Ericsson took this strategy much further than Nokia, engaging in the kind of blackballing of IS-95 that was probably excessive. However, I'm not all that concerned about the morality of this - Qualcomm went as far if not further by implying that IS-95 could deliver more than it did. NTT-Docomo was the entity that finally forced Nokia and Ericsson to move up their W-CDMA schedule - they want to get their paws on European market ASAP and counter the initiation of IS-95 in Japan. I do think that W-CDMA can handle better than IS-95 the stuff it's designed for - delivering massive bandwith, enough for live video. Nobody knows how good is the power consumption of W-CDMA, but I think that part of the power problems of IS-95 handsets lies in the relative inexperience of the companies making current CDMA phones. Nokia will launch their second generation IS-95 phones within six months... if they can deliver 100 - 150 hour standby times I'm going to conclude that in this arena Nokia is simply better than any other company, regardless of what the standard is. I'm basing my faith in Nokia's ability to deliver knock-out W-CDMA phones on their track record, not my wishes. Whatever this company has made their handset priority has succeeded. First it was GSM 900, then GSM 1800, then GSM dual mode phones. TDMA phones were Nokia's weakness a mere year ago - then Nokia decided the market is big enough to take over and now they have a lock on US TDMA phone market. Motorola *still* lacks a tri-mode TDMA phone, as well as Lucent/Philips, even though US TDMA market is their own backyard. Nokia is the only western company that has managed to break into the top ten of Japanese PCD phone makers - other nine companies are Japanese. Nokia is taking over China, because their Chinese-language OS is tailormade for Chinese customers. CDMA is the only market Nokia has not really focused on, and that is for strategic reasons - it is in Nokia's interest that their US GSM and TDMA phones are clearly superior to their CDMA phones. In contrast, W-CDMA phones are a big priority for Nokia - and no other company is as far in developing them. As far as operator economies goes, this is the key: it will be much more economical for world's GSM operators to upgrade to W-CDMA than opt for CDMA 2000. There will be 200 million GSM subscriber in the world when W-CDMA is launched. The easiest access for these people to third generation technology is a W-CDMA upgrade. Tero