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Technology Stocks : Netscape -- Giant Killer or Flash in the Pan? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ahhaha who wrote (4275)9/30/1998 4:53:00 PM
From: Jacques Tootight  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4903
 
If you think the thesis is wrong, then attack it.

I don't know that your thesis is right or wrong, it seems more like wishful thinking on your part, or perhaps a vision of the company you hope for. Are you saying that if Netscape has these items in their business plan then it's a worthwhile investment? What if they don't? I haven't seen anything published by the company to indicate that any of your action items are being actively pursued. It doesn't seem very prudent to me to make an investment in a company based upon something I hope they will do.

An exercise in number throwing is entirely useless.

Your posts allude to your thinking this company presently has good value. If you are a value investor from the Graham, Buffet, Gabelli, Lynch school of thought, I can assure you Netscape still doesn't have enough value to warrant an investment for anyone from the Graham school. Not quite beat up enough yet, still not a clear enough sense of direction from management, still not strong enough evidence the plan such that it is will work.

If you haven't learned that, you're a beginner in this business.

Not very productive to berate someone for asking you to substantiate your position. For many, long term investing in a company is about making a quantitative analysis of the company based upon the facts available, assessing management's business plan, and determining for yourself whether they can perform. Most people don't invest in visions. If you do fine, whatever floats your boat.

I'll never be accused of being anything but a Netscape fan. I really hope they pull it off, I love underdogs and beat up mutts. I've been trading this puppy since January. Bought and sold it four times now. Will it ever be a long term investment? Don't know. Jury's out. I'm waiting to see like the rest of the street.

Cheers -

RC



To: ahhaha who wrote (4275)10/1/1998 11:12:00 AM
From: hoyasaxa  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4903
 
Air. Don't tell,SHOW me why it is undervalued at current levels. Do you know how to do fundamental analysis? Furthermore, there is a difference between guesswork and projections. I am an analyst and I agree one should not take sell-side analyst's statements at face value. One must do homework. Have you analyzed NSCP's cashflow statement, let alone its balance sheet? Tell us why then show us how (quantify) EBITDA will improve and TEV will increase - tell us what projects NSCP will undertake and us show us the impact of good projects on Cashflow, etc. Option-based rather than DCF models seem to work best BTW in this case. Thanks.