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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gbh who wrote (54989)10/1/1998 5:41:00 PM
From: professor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
COMS higher than ASND is definitely possilbe especially if it was bought out first. Although I am long on asnd, I think the potential of COMS being bought out before ASND is greater based on valuation prospects. just my two cents.



To: gbh who wrote (54989)10/2/1998 12:03:00 AM
From: gbh  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 61433
 
Top Stories: All Quiet on the Lucent Front

By Kevin Petrie
Staff Reporter
10/1/98 4:06 PM ET

Well, maybe tomorrow.

Today, months of hype turned to a non-event. Wall Street
players and reporters as well fat glossy business magazines
have been speculating fervently about a big deal for Lucent
(LU:NYSE), a builder of telephone networks. Lucent had
snapped up several small targets in the field of computer
networking, but that was perceived as chicken feed.

Today, Lucent turns two years old as an autonomous entity,
which allows it to acquire big companies in a more
financially palatable fashion. Rather than using purchase
accounting and swallowing a "goodwill" charge to future
earnings, Lucent can enter a "pooling of interest"
transaction. In a pooling, two companies simply combine
their balance sheets, sans charges.

Reporters and pundits spotted the train a long way off.
TheStreet.com wrote in August about the magical date and
what it means to Cisco (CSCO:Nasdaq) if Lucent buys
Ascend (ASND:Nasdaq). On Sept. 13, The New York Times
spoke of Lucent swallowing "bigger fish," and Business
Week declared "hunting season" on Sept. 21. The only
sound of caution came from San Jose Mercury News last
week.

But don't hold your breath. Lucent will make no
announcements today, according to a company spokesman.
Talk about a letdown.

"We have to remember one thing," says analyst Greg
Geiling with J.P. Morgan. ""People have been talking about
this for 12 months, but until Oct. 1, they were also prohibited
from having in-depth conversations with anyone."

Lucent declined to talk about possible transactions. Ascend
says its business is doing just fine as a standalone. CEO
Mory Ejabat is on the East Coast this week, which a
spokesman says has fueled more chatter about just how
close he was to Lucent's headquarters. For the record,
Ascend and Lucent are not in talks.

But investors have larger worries these days, nursed by
profit warnings from Lucent rivals Alcatel (ALA:NYSE) and
Northern Telecom (NT:NYSE): the health of the underlying
business.

Geiling says the sector still will grow revenue 14% to 16%
worldwide. While North American telephone carriers might
spend less on voice and Internet products next year, the big
guys can still flex their muscles. He estimates that Lucent
and even Nortel can grow in the "double digits" next year.

Today, the sellers aren't listening. All telephone networking
stocks declined today.

The Deal might still happen. Lucent might acquire two
assets: more Internet products or stronger international
distribution channels. Ascend, long rumored to be the top
target, offers plenty of the first and some of the second.

But then again...