SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Winstar Comm. (WCII) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Steven Bowen who wrote (8436)10/2/1998 10:17:00 AM
From: j.d.robbins  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12468
 
Steven, The market will be lower next year at this time. That being said an old value investor like myself will start pulling up charts on good co. that will be moving into the next 20 years will great technology. Telcos, internet. and some biotech and commodites but not gold. For the younger investor pick your spots to buy and then let it go don't daytrade stocks in your long term portfolio As Steven said lots of on-line and level II brokers houses will go down with there clients which could be you. It is not the end of the world just a time to put back and pick your spots.I personal have stopped using level II trading since it seems like everyone is doing it. Don't follow the group lead them will your knowledge......long wcii (yes I did short some at 26 )but believe in this co. and it's Management...j.d.



To: Steven Bowen who wrote (8436)10/2/1998 3:15:00 PM
From: SteveG  Respond to of 12468
 
<..Steve, someone posted that Merril internal documents show them to be leveraged 97 to 1, and that a drop of 10% below the summer lows will put them out of business...>

These kinds of rumors were floating yesterday, so Merrill came out and clarified that their total hedgefund exposure was $2.1B, that LT was $1.4B of that. And that they were something like 90% collateralized with cash or Treasuries. But who knows.

I didn't know about Block trading. Must've had some hot shot pimply bandits blow up big on margin.

I think the whole market has ALWAYS been a "house of cards" - ponzi scheme really, with some rationalized basis that "something" is there underlying. ALL valuations are ultimately subjective, and will wax and wane with collective consciousness. After a long time of greed, fear is beginning to dominate. Will it last?

I like what a fund manager recently said - for the US to go into recession with the economic condition we are in would require Rubin, Greenspan, et al to be idiots for a prolonged period. Could happen, but I wouldn't bet on it.

In the meantime, I HAVE been looking at potential shorts. JP Morgan is a good Dow proxy, and JPM puts are better values than OEX or SPX.
GE came up yesterday because of GE Capital's massive hedgefund exposure (interestingly, a NY Times article today mentioned potential restructuring of GE Cap, which GE denied):
search.nytimes.com

Another potential short - TRV - I'm hearing from good sources that Smith Barney may have some serious exposure, which double whammies as they progress to wed with CCI.

Ultimately, as most here do, I think telecom and bandwidth buildout will continue - ESPECIALLY in times of crisis when communication is most needed... wherever on the valuation spectrum we wind up. It just may take a year or three.

===============================

In the meantime, how about some humor?:

Three buddies die in a car crash and go to an orientation in heaven.

They are each asked, "When you are in your casket and friends and
family are mourning you, what would you like to hear them say about you?

The first guy says, "I would like to hear them say that I was a great doctor of my time, and a great family man."

The second guy says, "I would like to hear that I was a wonderful
husband and school teacher who truly made a difference"

The last guy replies, "I would like to hear them say......

"LOOK, HE'S MOVING...HE'S STILL ALIVE..!!!!!"

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Some QUOTES

I had a linguistics professor who said that it's man's ability to
use language that makes him the dominant species on the planet. That
may be. But I think there's one other thing that separates us from
animals. We aren't afraid of vacuum cleaners.
-Jeff Stilson

Never raise your hands to your kids. It leaves your groin unprotected.
-Red Buttons

Did you ever notice when you blow in a dog's face he gets mad at you?
But when you take him in a car he sticks his head out the window.
-Steve Bluestone

Have you ever noticed? Anybody going slower than you is an idiot, and
anyone going faster than you is a maniac.
-George Carlin

The reason most people play golf is to wear clothes they would not be
caught dead in otherwise.
-Roger Simon

I'm desperately trying to figure out why kamikaze pilots wore helmets.
-Dave Edison

Anytime four New Yorkers get into a cab together without arguing, a
bank robbery has just taken place.
-Johnny Carson

I have six locks on my door all in a row. When I go out, I lock
every other one. I figure no matter how long somebody stands there
picking the locks, they are always locking three.
-Elayne Boosler

Ever wonder if illiterate people get the full effect of alphabet soup?
-John Mendoza

The statistics on sanity are that one out of every four Americans
is suffering from some form of mental illness. Think of your three
best friends. If they are okay, then it's you.
-Rita Mae Brown

Now they show you how detergents take out blood stains, a pretty
violent image there. I think if you've got a T-shirt with a
blood stain all over it, maybe laundry isn't your biggest problem.
Maybe you should get rid of the body before you do the wash.
-Jerry Seinfeld

I always wanted to be somebody, but I should have been more specific.
-Lily Tomlin

Why does Sea World have a seafood restaurant? I'm halfway through my
fish burger and I realize, Oh my God, I could be eating a slow learner.
-Lynda Montgomery



To: Steven Bowen who wrote (8436)10/2/1998 3:36:00 PM
From: Richard Dunaven  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12468
 
Steve,

ML came out today and said that their hedge fund exposure was 2.08 Bil but that only 84 mil is uncovered. The rest is covered with some sort of collateral.

Ric D