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To: dougjn who wrote (15925)10/2/1998 3:34:00 PM
From: Ruffian  Respond to of 152472
 
All, Spin Part 1;

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PR Spin
a_la_carte
Oct 2 1998
3:08PM EDT

<< In a situation where schoolmates grow tired of being bullied, it's only natural
that at some point they would gang up on the perceived bad guy. >>

Well, it works both ways. I noticed that Ericsson is trying to slip EDGE under the
ETSI door. Wow, how convenient. And notice too this is what the author wants
the reader to feel by the time he finishes the article. Make the assertion and back it
with fact, er the truth, er, spin, er "falsehoods", er .... etc.

Somehow, I think Ericsson feels it's being bullied to get an IS-95 at the regular
rate. So Ericsson bullies the others into making Qualcomm look like the bad guy;
or at least, lauch a PR campaign to make it so..... he he

<< The TDMA/GSM group feels a single, backward-compatible CDMA
standard such as that promoted by Qualcomm would cut into 3G advantages,
dumbing down a convergent network for the sake of preserving Qualcomm's
revenue stream from patent royalties and inhibiting operators' ability to deliver
value-added services to customers. >>

Well, there is no evidence that converged standard would be dumbed down so
that value-added services could be offered. Which value-added services are
these? I would have preferred a "like X, Y, Z" value added services - wouldn't that
give more credence to such claims?

<<However, substantial questions have arisen in the past few weeks regarding the
extent of Qualcomm's patents, whether they are critical for 3G development, and
just how valid they are, an issue that can only be proven in court. >>

There goes the marketing machine again. It is interesting that these questions didn't
surface sooner???? Narrowband vs. Wideband argument continues to be isolated
from ERICY PR machine. Who wants to prove this issue in court? Ericsson does
of course.

Boy, it is amazing how a comparatively much smaller "soft-handoff" patent lawsuit
blows up into this!!!!

<<Unlike some other wireless manufacturers, Qualcomm apparently counts a
single patent filed in multiple countries as many patents, a legal but confusing
practice.>>

If this is the point of contention, then these guys are confused. A patent is a patent.
Whether it is 5 or 50, those reflect patent rights which can only be defended in
court. There is no law for counting patents. But notice how this absurd point in
enshrouded to prove the thesis that Qualcomm is the "bad guy".

<<In addition, other manufacturers hold CDMA patents, the technology is
maturing and engineers can probably design around initial proprietary
technology.>>

In addition to a lame assertion? In addition, so what if they hold CDMA patents -
what is their relationship to the Qualcomm core portfolio - meaning are they
relevant to this debate? Designing around the patents is going to be a challenge,
correct? Note the usage of the word "probably".

<< though it's difficult to tell whether the company is engaging in hype or has
something unique to offer 3G. After all, this is the company that oversold the
capacity of CDMA systems. >>

Well, the only company that makes a jibe like this, would be someone from
Ericsson. I bet you $2000 that Judith Lockwood copy and pasted this excerpt
from an Ericsson press brief. She obviously doesn't know the "history" so she got
duped on that point.

<<the company antagonized many in the industry by overcharging for patent
royalties>>

Of the 60 companies that have CDMA licensese, how many were bullied into
buying a license. The only one being bullied is Ericsson, no?

<<The 3G standards process is a "chance for industry to get clarity and economies
of scale, and all these guys want to do is fill up their factories making handsets,"
said Nortel CEO Matt Desch. >>

Which guys are Matt referring to? In what context was this quote taken?
Obviously, taken to make Nortel appear that they think Qualcomm is the bad
guy...

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To: dougjn who wrote (15925)10/2/1998 3:35:00 PM
From: Ruffian  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
All, SPIN Part 2;

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Top:Business and Finance:Stocks:Technology:Communications Equipment:ERICY (LM Ericsson Telephone Co.)

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PR Spin 2
a_la_carte
Oct 2 1998
3:10PM EDT

<< Even Lucent Technologies Inc., earlier more aligned with Qualcomm, is adjusting its
message to say that it will support what its carrier customers want. >>

Lucent has said this all along, and at the same time, has participated in the lobbying
efforts - so I don't get it. Is this another attempt to make it seem like Lucent doesn't
want to be perceived as a bully?

<<Some government officials are caught in the crossfire. At a dinner featuring Chinese
cuisine and attended by FCC commissioners and Personal Communications Industry
Association board members, Commissioner Susan Ness told fellow diners she wanted
to avoid a discussion of 3G. But when the topic came up anyway, she said she would
rely on advice contained in her fortune cookie message, which read, "Keep a cool head
when making decisions." >>

Oh yeah, didn't you know, it is all Qualcomm's fault.

<<And Now, For A Lighter Moment ...>>

Oh, this situation is so bad, that anything else, yes, an outgoing DJ, is much more
relieving to talk about, than all the pain that Qualcomm has caused.

Whoever wrote this for Judith was one smart cookie.

I conclude that a $100K, six month stint to orchestrate a $5 million PR campaign to "set
the record straight" and identify what really going on here ... is a tempting offer. ;-)

Jim


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To: dougjn who wrote (15925)10/2/1998 3:49:00 PM
From: Joe NYC  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
Doug,

My question still is how you increase inflation in environment Japan is in right now without completely upsetting the system.

Under normal circumstances, increase in money supply at rate higher than increase of output at first fools people and increases output, and in the long run causes inflation (which for years we tried to prevent).

In short, unreasonable increase of money supply lead to inflation.

But this rests on many assumptions, like velocity of money (it's been years since my econ 101, correct me if I am wrong here), the fact that banks would lend the new money out, keeping only required reserves (over and over to create the multiplier effect) and a somewhat closed system.

But some of these assumptions don't hold. Banks are not lending the money. The system is not closed, because you have a valve to outside world which causes money to escape the Japanese system and inflate US Treasuries instead.

You kind on need people to bid up prices of things, or some kind of scarcity, or lack of supply to fuel the inflation cycle. All those things are absent in Japan.

Joe



To: dougjn who wrote (15925)10/2/1998 3:56:00 PM
From: Clarksterh  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
 
Doug - **OT** - Re: Japanese inflating themselves out of their mess.

In order to inflate themselves out of it, they need some way to make their yen get put into circulation. I can see only two ways of doing that, and neither looks very workable:

1) Lower their interest rates enough to encourage people to borrow. The problem is that everyone is worried about the economy and doesn't want to be saddled with any more debt (nor do the banks want to lend, for the same reason). Undoubtedly there is a rate at which they could get people to take their money, but it looks like it would involve negative rates.

2) Massive government spending. The problem with this is that governments are so bad at spending money efficiently. This would probably just exacerbate future problems.

The solution, IMVHO, is to restore confidence by cleaning up the worst banks (the worst 10%?) and rescuing all the others. How do you think the government could actually get more yen into circulation?

Clark