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Technology Stocks : Ascend Communications (ASND) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bucky89 who wrote (55141)10/2/1998 4:10:00 PM
From: Immi  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
Options Buzz: Call Buyers Crowd into
Lucent Targets

By Dan Colarusso
Senior Writer
10/2/98 1:21 PM ET

Never before has Oct. 1 prompted the furious speculation
bubbling in the network equipment sector as investors take
aim at Lucent's (LU:NYSE) potential takeover targets.

At the heart of the rumors is the possibility that either
Ascend (ASND:Nasdaq) or 3Com (COMS:Nasdaq) will end
up as Lucent's mate. One popular rumor that has Lucent
buying 3Com, not Ascend, boosted 3Com shares and
pressured Ascend's. Lucent representatives declined to
comment; Ascend and 3Com officials could not be reached
for comment.

Options activity in each company is running counter to the
overall weakness the sector, as call buyers play
out-of-the-money options. In Ascend, the shares were down
2 3/16 to 39 3/8 at midday after being down more than 5
early.

Ascend's October and November 40 calls were active, each
trading more than 700 contracts against the downturn in the
underlying shares. Traders were willing to pay about 3 3/8
($337.50) for the October 40 calls and around 5 ($500) for
the November 40 contracts.

3Com speculation has been as brisk, traders said. Options
volume has been "slightly unusual" and the implied volatility
-- the expected trading range of the shares -- had "exploded"
over the past few sessions, according to Pacific Exchange
trader Karim Tahawi. "The vols are up 20 points," Tahawi
said. "It was very busy yesterday afternoon." He and other
traders said trading patterns likely reflected the takeover
rumors in the marketplace.

As casualties mount overseas, the question is whether
Europe and Asia are shopping more choosily or have slowed
spending all around.

Scientific-Atlanta (SFA:NYSE) only added to the confusion
this morning by warning of poor quarterly sales in Asia, Latin
America and Europe. Satellite and certain transmission
products sold poorly, it said, and in Brazil the company
encountered a delay in the issuance of cable licenses. In
Europe, some customers put off deploying new systems.

While Scientific-Atlanta's operations have little direct bearing
on Cisco, Ascend or Lucent, its announcement today
poured oil on the fire that was started late last month by
warnings from Northern Telecom (NT:NYSE) and Alcatel
(ALA:NYSE ADR).

For its part, Lucent says today it's still comfortable with the
range of analysts' estimates for the September quarter, even
accounting for its exposure to foreign markets. Ascend's
remote-access product division, which also is exposed
internationally, is on track to meet its goals this quarter,
according to one sell-side analyst. The stock is falling along
with Cisco's because investors don't like pricey stocks in
this ugly market, according to the analyst. Ascend could not
be reached for comment.

****

The beating taken by the Nasdaq yesterday brought out two
big trades in the Philadelphia Stock Exchange's OTC
Prime index, or OTX, which isolates the top 15
over-the-counter stocks.

Traders said an investor bought 7,500 November 210 puts
and sold 5,500 October 200 puts when the OTX stood at
199. That position is essentially insurance against a
continued, but somewhat limited, drop in the Nasdaq.



To: bucky89 who wrote (55141)10/2/1998 4:18:00 PM
From: Mighty Mizzou  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
Gee Bucky, I thought you were an ASND user also. How do you know so much about ASND?