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Technology Stocks : Winstar Comm. (WCII) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Don S.Boller who wrote (8447)	10/2/1998 7:51:00 PM
From: STK1	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 12468

As I said before NO MATTER HOW FAR IT GOES DOWN>Don I assume that yoru post ids ment to be somewhat humorus since i don't think any self respecting investor would imagine the dow anywhere near that senerio unless of course we have a war on our own soil or possibly the DC area gets nuked by a band of @@@@'s,Today we will see lower lows and higher highs and if you did not see this new global driven economy comming them your not in the right stocks.

To: Don S.Boller who wrote (8447)	10/5/1998 6:49:00 AM
From: Robert Scott	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 12468

If you're talking about long term technicals for the dow, since 1900, DOW has had 3 bull markets and 2 bear markets. The first bull market began in early 1900 and peaked in 1929 (10-100). The bear market ran until 1942. The next bull market ran from 42 and peaked in 1968-9 (100-1000). The next bear market ran until 1982. Based on these long term trends, the average bull market runs about 25 years and the average bear market runs about 12 years. The bear markets go nowhere and the bull markets go up 10X. As such, the only way to make serious money in the market is to be invested during bull markets - this explains the buy & hold philosophy. Based on this, this bull market will run until 2007 and will peak at 10,000. It is possible, however, that a bull market can greatly exceed its target (1929 and Japan at 40,000), but it will return and go lower than it's target. As such, we could reach 15,000 or 20,000 by the end of this bull run, but we should return to 10,000 and lower by 2020. This scenerio looks like it will play out this time. Once we get past the current problem, the US will greatly prosper due to renewed global growth and peace. Of course, someone could appear who could throw the world into a serious problem and could disrupt this scenerio.