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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JRI who wrote (68984)10/3/1998 1:17:00 PM
From: Eddie Kim  Respond to of 176387
 
Reread my old posts. I always stated the Market will CORRECT in October and thus DELL will go down with it. I never meant to imply the next day or week.

As for this market I think we see Monday and Tuesday as up days and will unload most of my stocks. Wednesday begins the downturn. We will retest 7500 and most likely break it. I hope 7000 holds.



To: JRI who wrote (68984)10/4/1998 10:17:00 AM
From: rudedog  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
John -
As long as CPQ maintains inventory in the channel, their (past) sales figures are overstated

This is true not just for investors but also for managers within CPQ who read these same numbers. One of the big reasons for the huge reduction in channel inventory was to bring the current reported sales figures more in line with manufacturing requirements.

Look at it this way - Dell gets sales figures 'on line' - they can say on a day to day basis what customers are buying, and make plans accordingly. CPQ was getting their reports months out of synch, since they had to do the complex analysis of what customers were really buying when feedback from those decisions would be months after the decisions were made. Clearly this made Dell an order of magnitude more agile.

This fact alone made it a requirement for CPQ to cut channel inventory to the absolute minimum, aside from the cost issues that made it important to investors. If CPQ is to remain responsive, they need direct feedback about what works and what doesn't, and they need that information in days, not months.

Even in the best of circumstances, the direct model gives the absolute best real-time trend analysis on customer preferences.

Which means. I guess, that I am in strong agreement with your statement:
all other things being equal, Dell's stock should always enjoy a little premium to CPQ (or CPQ a discount to Dell) due to this issue. With Dell, the sales figures are simply cleaner.....More lucid accounting has to worth something, right?