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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TA2K who wrote (17874)10/4/1998 5:22:00 AM
From: Johnny Canuck  Respond to of 70846
 
Nicholas,

Jim is right, different stocks work best with different combinations
of indicators. You have to back test to see what works best and
over which time frame for a specific stock. The total amount
of money made over a large number of trades is the most important
thing. Keep in mind that for most mechanical systems 50 percent of
your trades will be loser.

One important thing to keep in mind though is that all the
indicators are based on some variation of the price and the
volume information . A lot of the indicators are based on
similar principles and there are only so many ways you can
use that information. The variations are due to people
trying to improved their entry and exits. A lot of the
information is redundant. Once you understand the
indicators, you should be able to use fewer of them and still
have a stable system.

For example, in the MACD the first two numbers indicate the
difference between 2 EMA's. So this is essentially similar
to a system using the cross of two averages to generate a
buy or sell signal. To improve the system someone decided
to use a average of the difference as their trigger line
to generate the signals as the actual crossing of the
2 EMA is often late in generating the signal. The point is
you have two different systems but the information is redundant.

You can use the same indicators of the MACD as an oscillator
by using the difference between the 2 EMA's. For a 12-26-9
MACD if the 12 day EMA is statistically well below the 26 day
then you are under sold. This is a variation of the
same information as the RSI.

Understanding your indicators and realizing that most stocks
have a cycle will help you take some of the guess work out
of your setting for the indicators.

Harry