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Technology Stocks : Oracle Corporation (ORCL) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John F. Dowd who wrote (8504)10/4/1998 3:19:00 PM
From: Hardly B. Solipsist  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19080
 
I don't believe that these were "announced". This blurb is a
shorter version of the Reuters story which said (as clearly
as it said anything) that this was lifted from the 10-Q. If you
have ever read any 10-Q's, as I assume you have, you know that
there is a bunch of boilerplate in them in which lawyers mention
any conceivable thing that could go wrong (such as "If people
stop buying database software, Oracle will lose a large portion
of its current revenues."). For at least the last three versions
of the 10-Q the statements that led to the "big news" story in
Reuters have appeared in exactly the same place with the same
wording.

Even the blurb makes is clear that it wasn't an announcement, but
a "disclosure". You are welcome to get as excited about the
possibility of price cuts due to competition as you like, but do
yourself a favor and don't take everything you see in a news article
at face value.

And I don't have any idea what the coming quarter's revenues look
like. But if ORCL is going to miss and wanted to let people know, I
am certain that they will *announce* it.



To: John F. Dowd who wrote (8504)10/6/1998 11:43:00 AM
From: Reginald Middleton  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 19080
 
You have a valid point John. Orcl's reinvestment rate has dropped, they sold over 800 milliion dollars in assets this past quarter (my bet is that they wanted to artificially boost earnings since most investors don't know better than to avoid earnings analysis) and thier currency translation is starting to turn against them more aggressively. MSFT an dIBM are aggressive competitors and I feel that it is anathema (in terms of market value) to mention a problem from MSFT, which is why it wasn't mentioned in this latest warning.

RCM
rcmfinancial.com