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Technology Stocks : 3Com Corporation (COMS) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Eric who wrote (22503)10/5/1998 11:31:00 AM
From: joe  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 45548
 


Eric,

There is some worry about corporations decreasing
their network purchases in '99. Cowen, I think, said
they did somewhat of a poll (unreliable I'm sure) on
the IT departments and concluded that CSCO would not
be selling as much.

IMO, what a bunch of crock. There's no validity in
trying to predict what's going to happen 4 months
from now and extending an entire year after that. Besides, the
networking sector will grow regardless of just about
anything since it's so inherent in making companies
much more productive. Internet infrastructure will
keep developing no matter what. AND, the US is not
even close to recession yet, but that's what COWEN
is just about assuming.

IMO, just another analysts' excuse to create volatility.

I'm keeping my CSCO shares. I'm more worried about the
entire market just repricing everything and staying
underwater for who knows how long.

joe



To: Eric who wrote (22503)10/5/1998 12:07:00 PM
From: joe  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 45548
 


Eric,

One of the reasons I'm sticking with my CSCO shares (COMS
is still by far the major portion of my portfolio), is
that CSCO, IMO, will whip LUs butt when the time comes.

As Steve Porter posted a few posts back, CSCO is getting
slowly chipped away by the COMS type equipment that is
lower priced and probably more the way of the future.
I'm speaking mainly the switch routers.

But, I still see CSCO as moving up into the telecom
equipment space and dominating there for at least a good
while, until COMS produces related products. But the
main point is CSCO will have their own gigantic niche
for a while provided they beat out LU and NT. I think
they can do this because they are coming from the IP
side and LU has to much invested in legacy systems with
it's former telecom customers.

Also, CSCO still has the flexibility to change technology
in the "core". COMS flexibility in the edge will be a powerful
force IMO, but CSCO is not a network dinasour as some have
concluded. I just think that CSCO and COMS will stay
out of each others spaces for a while still, so there
is still not a big need for either to fear the other.
Maybe in 2-3 years from now.

joe