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To: John Carpenter who wrote (30454)10/7/1998 1:22:00 PM
From: RGinPG  Respond to of 95453
 
I think what matters is the trend for falling earnings in this sector. The analysts are trying to keep up with downward revisions, but can't. osxstocks.com



To: John Carpenter who wrote (30454)10/7/1998 2:02:00 PM
From: Tulvio Durand  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
I do believe it is the latter.

Global recession threatening to engulf the US could become a self fulfilling prophecy. Investors reason there will be a lesser need for oil in a global recession. Thus corporate valuations mean little when there is a perception that too many companies will be chasing fewer jobs.

What's needed is an event to change market psychology. Certainly Janet Reno's zinging big business with anti-trust suits (MSFT, INTC, CSCO, and today Visa, Master Card) isn't what the market wants to hear now. Greenspan should clue in Clinton to call off Reno's attack dogs.

The catalyst to restored market confidence, I believe, is positive surprises in the Q earnings, especially in the tech sector, starting over the next couple of weeks. If DELL, CSCO, INTC et al come in with strong earnings we should see a turn around.

Regards,

Tulvio



To: John Carpenter who wrote (30454)10/7/1998 7:06:00 PM
From: Fredman  Respond to of 95453
 
It used to be the former, until about a year or 2 ago. Look at the astronomical prices for the web stocks - way too high, and we all know that. That just proves book value means NOTHING anymore. It is 'I have it - what's it worth to you ?' today. an auction house, to be precise.