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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: kumar L chalasani who wrote (30469)10/7/1998 6:26:00 PM
From: Don Westermeyer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Kumar,

Here is just some general comments that I'm sure have been said many times by other people already, but I feel like being redundant. :)

1. As far as block trade go for each seller there is still a buyer. Sometimes that is hard to remember when there are so many more sellers than buyers.

2. I've read that there has been some institutional interest in the sector. That appears to change on a day-to-day basis. Tomorrow they may be buyers again.

3. If you are long, you will have to deal with tax-loss selling over the next couple of months. FWIW - I will be one of the buyers in there. Hold on to your hats for a while - things will settle out eventually.

4. Don't invest so much that you need to worry short term. Give these stocks a year or two (or more?). I'm positive this sector will out-perform the general market.

5. There are very few people that have made money in this sector over the last year (myself included) - sorry to say welcome to the club. :o(


It is amazing to see how fast market greed turns to fear (not directed at you BTW - just an observation on the market).

I see YHOO beat expectations with whopping $0.15 earnings. The stock will probably fly even though the P/E is 200+. There are still some signs of irrational behavier in that sector.

Just bantering - sorry.



To: kumar L chalasani who wrote (30469)10/7/1998 6:56:00 PM
From: Nello Filippone  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Kumar,

What usually happens in October is Tax-Loss Selling. If a Mutual Fund or Money Advisor/Manager is going to have a bad year the last thing they would want to do is have their customer pay capital gains for the year. An example would be if a fund sold some Dell today (190% realized gain YTD), a loss is needed to offset this gain so you sell your biggest losers (HAL,FLC,RIG ....).

The earlier the losers are sold the more time they have to buy before the end of the year. They cannot realize the Tax-Loss if the security
sold is repurchased within the next 30 days.

The process is not as trivial as I described, there is much more strategy and planning involved regarding tax efficient strategies
when managing mutual funds.


The other possibility is that they may see more bad news on the horizon ... IMO we have seen the worse.

Hope this helps.

Nello




To: kumar L chalasani who wrote (30469)10/7/1998 9:28:00 PM
From: John Carpenter  Respond to of 95453
 
There's a guy on the RIG and DO Yahoo message boards named
"Sure 75" who says he's sure that the 150,000 share blocks
of RIG and DO executed after 11AM were buys not sells.
Since every NYSE trade involves a buyer and a seller,
does anyone know if the one who was interested in the
entire block,the initiator, lets call him the
institution for lack of a better word, was a buyer or seller?



To: kumar L chalasani who wrote (30469)10/8/1998 1:18:00 AM
From: Fredman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
If you are expecting an overnight turnaround, then you have every right to be VERY nervous. On the other hand, If you sit on any Oils you have, you really need to sit for a year or two. I don't know your financial situation, YOU DO. But i am buying a few hundred shares every other day in the Oil sector, because it ALWAYS comes back with a vengeance - IN DUE TIME. It might be a LONG due time, but it will be back. These things go in cycles.