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Strategies & Market Trends : Mr. Pink's Picks: selected event-driven value investments -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mr. Pink who wrote (3746)10/7/1998 11:06:00 PM
From: Mad2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18998
 
Your stock is rising fast:

Copyright 1998 American Banker, Inc.
The American Banker

October 8, 1998, Thursday

SECTION: MORTGAGES; Pg. 7

LENGTH: 534 words

HEADLINE: REIT Market, Wrong Time: Indy Mac Hurt by Jitters

BYLINE: By MARC HOCHSTEIN

BODY:
What do Criimi Mae and IndyMac have in common, aside from being real estate investment trusts and having names that invoke the government- sponsored mortgage agencies?

Very little, insists Michael W. Perry, president and chief operating officer of IndyMac Mortgage Holdings Inc., Pasadena, Calif. "We're as close as companies as Walt Disney is to us."

Mr. Perry contends his company has been unjustifiably tarred with the same brush as Rockville, Md.-based Criimi Mae, which filed for bankruptcy protection Monday. IndyMac's stock price plummeted for a second straight day Tuesday, closing at $10, down $6 on the day and $9.3125 from Friday's close.

"It's frustrating to watch in two days half of your market capitalization go away over these fears," Mr. Perry said.

Shares were off 87.5 cents, to $9.125, in early trading Wednesday.

As mortgage REITs, Criimi Mae and IndyMac invest in loans and securities and pay out most of their income in dividends. Both borrow money from Wall Street, pledging those investments as collateral. Both run conduits, which originate loans with securitization in mind.

The similarities end there. Criimi Mae bought risky, lower-rated tranches of commercial mortgage-backed securities offerings, whereas IndyMac focuses on residential mortgages, and mostly prime-quality loans at that.

Since late August the commercial mortgage-backed market has gone south, and the subordinated bonds Criimi Mae owned were hit hardest. When its lenders made margin calls recently, the company had to file for protection from creditors.

Residential mortgages have also suffered, but not as much, and remain more liquid than the lower-rated bonds Criimi Mae owned, said Daniel Martin, an analyst at Standard & Poor's. When IndyMac had margin calls recently, it met them "easily," Mr. Perry said.

Nevertheless, Fitch IBCA Tuesday placed its BBB rating for IndyMac on review for possible downgrade. "Any efforts by lenders to protect their positions with additional collateral or a further deterioration in the market value of IndyMac's portfolio could put further pressure on the company's resources," Fitch said.

S&P intends to maintain its BBB- rating for IndyMac, Mr. Martin said, noting that IndyMac has committed bank lines of credit. "They have a liquidity backstop."

IndyMac was founded by Countrywide Credit Industries Inc., the nation's second-largest mortgage lender, and the two companies still have close ties.

Before this week, IndyMac's stock was trading at about 1.6 times book value, while other mortgage REITs were trading below book. "Some short- sellers have been putting tremendous pressure on our stock to drive us down closer to book value," Mr. Perry said. Criimi Mae's filing "gave fuel to the short-sellers."

Someone calling himself "Mr. Pink" has been posting messages critical of IndyMac on the Yahoo! message board, Mr. Perry said. FirstPlus Financial Group, Dallas, recently said a critic using the same moniker was sabotaging its stock.

"That's the terrible thing about the Internet," Mr. Perry said. "These guys can hide behind a pseudonym."

Copyright c 1998 American Banker, Inc. All Rights Reserved. americanbanker.com

LANGUAGE: ENGLISH

LOAD-DATE: October 7, 1998



To: Mr. Pink who wrote (3746)10/7/1998 11:08:00 PM
From: Mad2  Respond to of 18998
 
You can start a scrap book, here's another:

Copyright 1998 American Banker, Inc.
The American Banker

October 2, 1998, Friday

SECTION: MORTGAGES; Pg. 1

LENGTH: 821 words

HEADLINE: Specialty Lender Weighed Down by Sector Troubles

BYLINE: By HEATHER TIMMONS

BODY:
The past 12 months have reduced FirstPlus Financial Group-by far the largest company in the controversial high-loan-to-value market-from a hot commodity to a short-seller's dream.

The company, which once had $2.3 billion in market capitalization, is now worth less than $445 million, with the sharpest decline coming in the past week. The company traded at a 52-week low Wednesday of $9.5625, a fraction of last October's high of $61.875.

Executives once said they would not sell for less than $100 a share. Now the company is expected to fetch at most a quarter of that, if it is sold at all. It has been on the block for four weeks.

On Sept. 29, FirstPlus said it was still "strongly engaged" in finding a strategic partner, and that discussions with more than one party were well under way.

"There has been much speculation ... but we have made significant progress," said chief executive officer Daniel Phillips. He added that the company plans to resolve the matter in the "next few weeks."

FirstPlus is being rocked even though demand for its core product- mortgages worth as much as 125% of a home's value-remains strong. Consumers are increasingly turning to companies like FirstPlus, which allow them to roll high-rate credit card debt into lower-rate loans partially backed by the equity in their homes. Since the product was introduced in 1995, high- LTV volume has doubled each year, according to a recent General Accounting Office report.

Why are investors shying away? One reason is that specialty finance companies have been hit by a cash crunch since early this year over concerns about the industry's accounting practices.

And companies like FirstPlus have been drawing attention from regulators and lawmakers worried about the risks homeowners take when they borrow more than their homes are worth. FirstPlus' application to buy a thrift has been pending at the Office of Thrift Supervision for about six months, reportedly because of regulators' concerns about the sector.

But unlike many of its peers, FirstPlus has not as yet been hobbled by rising delinquencies, loan losses, heavy prepayments, or fraudulent accounting.

Rather, observers said, the Dallas-based subprime lender seems to have been dragged down by surrounding market forces, botched communication with analysts and investors, and a whirlwind of rumors.

"Most certainly it is still a viable business," said one analyst who has downgraded several specialty finance stocks in recent months. FirstPlus "is probably a hell of a buy right now, in a sick sense," he said.

FirstPlus shares fell most dramatically over the past week, by about 50%, as investors reacted to talk that a planned buyout of FirstPlus had fallen through, and that the company is strapped for cash.

Investors apparently were disappointed that none of the mainstream lenders that were said to be looking at FirstPlus had stepped up with an offer. Prospective buyers were said to include GE Capital Corp., BancOne Corp., General Motors Acceptance Corp., Providian Financial Corp., and Norwest Corp.

Reports that the supposed front-runner, GE Capital, was not interested, along with a downgrade by a longtime booster of the stock, sent FirstPlus tumbling last week.

Late Thursday, four market sources said that GE Capital and one other lender-variously identified as Apollo Advisors Group or an overseas bank- were preparing to shore up FirstPlus, either by extending a line of credit or by taking a 50% stake in the company. A source close to GE Capital said the company was not looking at an acquisition, but he did not rule out the possibility of extending a loan.

Short-sellers have been attracted to specialty lenders, seeing the sector as vulnerable to writedowns and earnings volatility because of the peculiar accounting requirements for securitizers.

Like other securitizers, FirstPlus is required to predict how loans will perform and to book profits up front.

For most specialty lenders, this technique resulted in fat earnings when interest rates were stable and competition was slim. But more recently, many companies' predictions have missed the mark, forcing them to restate earnings. FirstPlus, however, was one of the first to adopt more conservative predictions, and thus escaped writedowns.

Even so, short interest in FirstPlus equaled 23% of its 37.88 million shares outstanding as of July 31, according to Bloomberg News.

FirstPlus has blamed some of the decline in its stock on a particular Internet investor who was spreading rumors. He is widely believed to be a short-seller who posts on-line messages as "Mr. Pink." A fund manager often said to be "Mr. Pink" downplayed his influence.

"I doubt that Putnam (Investments) sold their shares because they heard about some idiot that was putting messages on the Internet," he said.

Copyright c 1998 American Banker, Inc. All Rights Reserved. americanbanker.com

GRAPHIC: Phillips, photo

LANGUAGE: ENGLISH

LOAD-DATE: October 2, 1998



To: Mr. Pink who wrote (3746)10/8/1998 12:16:00 AM
From: chester lee  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18998
 
<<Mr. Pink spoke to him...what a schmuck..>>

And a lying one at that.

Is vindication all that it is said to be?

Chester