Worried Web Players Rush To Pair Up in a Mating Game
By KARA SWISHER Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Jeff Bezos, chief executive officer of Amazon.com Inc., seemed to have a bad day. Some major competitors had joined forces Tuesday against the online book and music merchant. Wednesday, Amazon's stock fell 14%.
But Mr. Bezos, whose net worth still tops $1.8 billion, remains upbeat. An accelerating stream of Web-related mergers and partnerships, he argues, proves a few big, pioneering players such as Amazon will grow and get stronger, while small rivals fade. "What is happening is that people are finally realizing that these Internet businesses are scale businesses," Mr. Bezos said in an interview. Further consolidation, he added, "will be increasingly common for the industry."
He is pushing the trend along. Seattle-based Amazon has spent about $235 million this year to buy five Web companies. Another aggressive deal-maker, the search service Excite Inc., has carried out four acquisitions and partnerships that collectively cost $226 million in cash and stock.
"By the time the year 2000 rolls around," said George Bell, Excite's CEO, "there will be a lot fewer independent players standing."
Pressures to Combine
Indeed, a series of pressures is making Web players pair up like desperate singles at the end of a dance. Many companies are convinced time is running out to build audience and grab market share. Building a brand in crowded Internet markets will require ever-larger spending on advertising and marketing -- just as a slide in the stock market makes investors more skeptical about Web companies that are far from turning a profit.
On Tuesday, for example, German media giant Bertelsmann AG joined forces with Amazon's biggest rival, paying $200 million for a 50% stake in the online division of bookseller Barnes & Noble Inc. Both companies also said they will contribute $100 million each to their joint venture, increasing its war chest to try to catch up to Amazon.
Let's Make A Web Deal
Bertelsmann pays $200 million for half of Barnes & Noble's Web book division, whcih pulls public offering. CDnow and N2K in talks to combine their online music-selling businesses. Lycos agrees to pay $83 million for Wired Digital, which operates news and information sites. USA Network's Ticketmaster unit merges with local Web service CitySearch and files for public offering. Disney buys 43% of search site Infoseek, for stake in Starwave and $70 million.
Similarly, Web music sellers CDnow Inc. and N2K Inc., which recently began facing competition from Amazon, confirmed that they are in talks about a transaction that could merge their operations.
Expecting stronger competition, investors reacted by selling off Amazon stock, sending it down $14.875 to $93.4375 in Nasdaq Stock Market trading.
The atmosphere wasn't helped by a warning from SportsLine USA Inc., a big operator of Web sports-news sites, that third-quarter revenue will fall short of expectations and that the company is paying more than $23 million to expand a marketing deal with America Online Inc. Shares of SportsLine fell 53%, or $8.6875, to $7.6875 on Nasdaq, and other Web-related stocks also slid. Excite fell 12%, or $4.75, to $33.9375 on Nasdaq, and AOL dropped 5.8%, or $5.625, to $92 in composite trading on the New York Stock Exchange.
Where the stock market once seemed to reward most Internet efforts, investors are placing more-selective bets about which companies will grow into big, sustainable franchises. "Public markets funded an awful lot of small companies in the last couple of years that will find it increasingly challenging," said Lise Buyer, an analyst at Credit Suisse First Boston in Palo Alto, Calif. Bigger players, she argues, tend to increase their competitive advantages over time, in a phenomenon that economists call increasing returns.
Size Matters to 'Portals'
Nowhere is the rush to get big more evident than among "portals," those Web services that are vying to become central destination hubs. Besides Excite, rivals include Yahoo! Inc. AOL, Microsoft Corp. and Lycos Inc. In this arena, many of the deals are aimed at placing links that funnel Web surfers from one popular site to another, increasing traffic figures that drive higher advertising rates.
"Portals need to build subscribers that stay there longer and longer in order to generate more revenues, so very big distribution deals are increasingly important," Excite's Mr. Bell said. "Everyone is trying to figure out the best ways to become more prominent as the options to do so become smaller."
Lycos, for example, since the spring has spent hundreds of millions of dollars in stock to acquire several Web companies. This week, it paid another $83 million to buy closely held Wired Digital Inc., the onetime sibling of Wired magazine. "More distribution is critical to our efforts to establish ourselves as a national network," said Bob Davis, Lycos's chief executive.
Not everyone feels the same amount of pressure. Yahoo, the No. 1 Web portal, has been approached by a wide range of companies, such as Walt Disney Co., to discuss possible deals. But Yahoo has more often generated new services internally or purchased small technology companies.
"Most of the time, the best decisions we have made concerning deals is to say no," said Ellen Siminoff, Yahoo's vice president of business development and planning. One danger of multiple partnerships, she argues, is that the Yahoo brand name could be diluted or confused by connections with too many partners.
Amazon's Mr. Bezos said he is also trying to be selective. "It's important to remember that while good acquisitions can save you six months in the market, that a bad one can slow you down just as much," he said.
Over the long term, Mr. Bezos added, consolidation pressures will tend to leave at most three or four major brands in each Web market. But one company won't necessarily kill all the others. "This is also not a winner-take-all game," he said. "The Internet is just too big for that."
-- Nick Wingfield contributed to this article. |