To: mark bailey who wrote (1031 ) 10/8/1998 10:46:00 AM From: Paul Shread Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1999
Another no-KY day in Blightpoint land. I don't know at what point values are going to be compelling enough to draw buyers back in, although I can't imagine we could go much lower (and how many times have I said that since mid-August?). Nonetheless, we need three things that might not come for another month or so (if ever on the last one): another Fed cut; a Brazilian stablilization package; and a real bank reform plan from the idiots in Tokyo (the latest version looks like more of the same old BS). This is a macro problem, not a CELL problem, although oddly, a weaker dollar should be helping both CELL and foreign markets, but CELL is also a small company (unlike KO, which also gets 70%+ of its revenues from overseas) and we are in a liquidity crisis... How low can we go? Well, we went public at about $1.50, so I'd expect strong buying there ;-). I'd say I was looking forward to Oct. 22, but I don't think earnings matter anymore; it's about the future, baby, and the market thinks the world is coming to an end. That said, today or tomorrow would be as good a day as any for the selling to stop -- earnings reports begin in earnest next week, and disaster is already built in. Have a nice day! By the way, Mark, I was just kidding you the other day -- I should have inserted an ;-) but didn't. Paul P.S. Wanna know what my best relative strength stock is lately (other than Philip Morris)? China Telecom (CHL). F*** free markets, Hong Kong is onto something. Currency controls would be throwing in the towel, but they're the only thing that ended the '82 Latin America crisis. Even the IMF is backing off after their announcement yesterday that countries could negotiate debt defaults. It's time for Plan B...