European Drug, Chemical Shares Decline as Dollar Plunges
Bloomberg News October 8, 1998, 11:53 a.m. ET
European Drug, Chemical Shares Decline as Dollar Plunges
Zurich, Oct. 8 (Bloomberg) - Glaxo Wellcome Plc and other European drug and chemicals shares fell as the dollar plunged, amid concern that companies already hit by slowing economies in Asia will suffer further from exchange-rate movements.
Glaxo Wellcome, the world's no. 2 drugmaker, dropped 111 pence, or 6.8 percent, to 1,508p. Switzerland's Clariant AG, the world's largest specialty-chemicals maker, fell 25 Swiss francs, or 4 percent, to 590 francs. Rival Ciba Specialty Chemicals AG dropped 5.5 francs, or 5.2 percent, to 101.25 francs.
Shares slid throughout the region as major currencies including the German mark and the Swiss franc soared against the dollar. A falling dollar cuts the value of European companies' revenue from the U.S., the world's biggest economy.
''The German chemicals industry situation has fallen dramatically in the current year,'' said Hans-Dietrich Winkhaus, chief executive of Henkel KGaA, Germany's fourth-largest chemicals and consumer-products company.
Winkhaus, speaking at a briefing by the German Chemical Industry Association, also said the association expects German chemical production for 1998 to be little changed from a year earlier economic weakness in Asia dampens demand worldwide. A declining dollar may aggravate chemicals and drugs makers' problems, analysts said.
''We'll have to revise down earnings estimates across the board,'' said Beat Alpiger, an analyst at Bank Julius Baer & Co. AG in Zurich. ''For this year, the impact will be limited, but the outlook for next year has certainly changed.''
European Currencies Strengthen
This year, the Swiss franc has risen 12.94 percent against the dollar and the German mark has gained 11.72 percent. Seven of the ten strongest performers against the dollar this year are European currencies.
In Germany, BASF AG fell 4.5 percent to 57.01 marks, and Hoechst AG fell as much as 3.8 percent to 61.00 marks.
Belgian chemicals maker Solvay SA slid 125 Belgian francs, or 5.3 percent, to 2,240 francs, while Swedish drugmaker Astra AB fell 7 kronor, or 5.6 percent, to 119 kronor. In France, drugmaker Sanofi SA fell 58 French francs, or 7.1 percent, to 760 francs.
In contrast, U.S. companies such as Pfizer Inc., the world's sixth-biggest drugmaker and maker of blockbuster impotence drug Viagra, and Johnson & Johnson, which ranks No. 5 among world drugmakers, may benefit from the weakness of the dollar, analysts said.
''This is one of the best times,'' said David Saks, an analyst at Gruntal & Co. ''I'm very bullish, I'm buying.''
European exports to the U.S. become more expensive as currencies in Europe appreciate. That adds to the pressure European companies are feeling because of declines in the value of Asian currencies, which made Asian exports more competitive relative to goods from Europe.
''Some Asian countries seem to be on an export offensive,'' Henkel's Winkhaus said at a press conference in Berlin, adding to the export-dependent industry's woes.
The German chemicals group said exports to Asia fell 8 percent in the first half of 1998, while chemicals imports from that region rose 19.5 percent.
--Theresa Waldrop in the Zurich newsroom (41-1) 224 4111, with |