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Technology Stocks : Winstar Comm. (WCII) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: gabor boda who wrote (8601)10/8/1998 3:05:00 PM
From: Rono  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 12468
 
NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Despite the unwavering support of many Wall Street
analysts, small-cap
telephone stocks are in the midst of a dramatic freefall that's showing no sign of letting
up.

Companies like Intermedia Communications Inc. (ICIX), ICG Communications Inc.
(ICGX), Nextlink
Communications Inc. (NXLK), Allegiance Telecom Inc. (ALGX) and Winstar
Communications Inc. (WCII)
have declined by 20% or more this week alone.

Analysts have argued that the losses are more reflective of market psychology than
weakness in the
companies' underlying fundamentals. But some investors aren't so sure.

"People are just starting to raise the question, 'are there fundamental problems here?"'
said Patrick Kane, a
telecom analyst at Federated Investors. "We may have to reasses some of our
assumptions."

At a time when the economy was strong and the high-yield bond market was
welcoming, these start-ups
were among Nasdaq's darlings - even though most of them don't expect to have positive
earnings before
income tax, depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA, until at least the year 2000.

But over the past few months, as U.S. economic forecasts grew darker and access to
new capital in the junk
bond and equity markets dried up, investors have rushed to the exits. For the year,
these competitive local
exchange carriers, or CLECs, have undeperformed the S&P 500 by 67% through the
middle of September,
according to Merrill Lynch & Co.

And given this week's losses, which have dropped many of these stocks to 52-week
lows, the year's
performance looks even worse.

Through it all, many high-profile analysts are sticking with their buy recommendations for
the CLECs,
insisting that companies that are essentially in line with revenue and network build-out
expectations are
being unjustly punished.

"These stocks are taking it on the chin even though their fundamentals are fine," said
William Vogel, an
analyst at NationsBanc Montgomery Securities. "People aren't doing any fundamental
analysis - they're just
selling the sector, they're spooked."

Others note that companies such as Intermedia, E.Spire Communications Inc. (ESPI),
and Teligent Inc.
(TGNT) are fully funded for their current business plans and won't need to rely on the
high-yield or equity
markets for at least the next 12 months.

What's more, Jack Grubman of Salomon Smith Barney is expected to soon issue a
report underscoring his
faith in the companies and reiterating buy recommendations, according to a market
contact.

As perhaps Wall Street's best known and most respected telecom analyst, Grubman's
support for the sector
would carry some weight and could potentially curb some of the selling. Grubman did
not return phone calls.



To: gabor boda who wrote (8601)10/8/1998 7:37:00 PM
From: limtex  Respond to of 12468
 
Dear Gabor,

Personally I need another opportunity like that like I need a hol.e in the head!!!

$13 is as much opportunity as I ever want to see for WCII again. I don't care about what Warren Buffet says that we should e pleased that our investments go down in value. I would like to buy hold take the occasional correction and see 'progress' in the stock price as in the company's development.

BTW see todays street.com. Ralph Accompura is calling for Dow 6,700. Thanks Ralph.

Abbey Joseph Cohen has apparently started to reduce her earnings estimates for the S&P to $52.5 for next year. Does anyone know what that means.I mean 'S&P earnings estimate of $52.5' ? What does that earnings relate to and how is it calculated?

Regards,

L