To: sea_biscuit who wrote (15557 ) 10/9/1998 10:52:00 AM From: Jock Hutchinson Respond to of 25814
But that's the point. I do think that you need to pick between MO and INTC, at least as far as strongly weighting your portfolio is concerned. Take a look at what INTC has done in comparison to other stocks that one might have in a diversified portfolio. I have not a clue as to how a company like Disney can command a higher multiple, except for the fact that it is held by a lot of young middle class families who associate their yearly vacations with their assets and from there Disney. Or how about Jack Walsh's glorified hedge fund that sells at twice the PE ratios of other banks? (Unless we assume that GE Capital is selling at a PE similar to banks, and that the manufacturing arm of GE is selling at a PE of 60, which is a hell of a lot of trump to be paying for lightbulbs etc. with a growth rate of ten percent.)techstocks.com techstocks.com A couple of final thoughts. Let's take a look at a company that spun off its technology sector and remained in the more "stable and secure" elements of its business:techstocks.com That company of course is T, which was for decades America's preeminent technology giant. (We all remember something called UNIX. Intel sure does.) And for decades, T's technology fueled the other more stable areas of growth, which led it to become a "widows and orphans" stock. Indeed, for decades, T was THE technology stock for the US. Moreover, some of those stable investments that you and others tout were cutting edge technology for decades not just years. The EKs Fs and GMs were the INTCs of their day, and that is precisely why one must overweight in today's technology--because the great growth stocks of yesterday were yesterday's cutting edge technology stocks. Should one's technology holdings be superior stocks? You bet. For every GM, there was a Studebaker. For every EK, there was a Polaroid. But the trick is not so much to be diversified across a broad sector of industries as to be diversified within the leading edge industry, and that industry for the foreseeable future and clearly the "seeable" past is that technology that furthers productivity in society. Now back to trading this whore named Yahoo.